Geno Smith or Keenan Allen: who should I start in Week 3?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Geno Smith at 15.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 books. That is the 39th highest figure of the 175 players the books price.

The player markets price Keenan Allen at 8.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 15 books. That is the 119th highest figure of the 175 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Geno Smith: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 121st overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 123.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Keenan Allen: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 120th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 193.

This season through Week 2

Through Week 2, Geno Smith has been on the field for 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 74 times and thrown 6.6 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 9 of 74 dropbacks and scrambled 6 times.

In Week 1 against TEN he completed 19 of 24 passes for 215 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 10 yards.

In Week 2 against GB he completed 27 of 40 passes for 247 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 5 times for 17 yards.

Through Week 2, Keenan Allen has been on the field for 58 percent of IND snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 13 third down targets, had 0 of its 6 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 6 two minute targets.

His 11 targets have averaged 4.8 air yards.

In Week 1 against BAL he caught 6 of 6 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against KC he caught 1 of 5 targets for 5 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Geno Smith played 15 games and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He threw for 3025 yards on 448 attempts with 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 29.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Keenan Allen played 17 games and scored 182.7 PPR points, 10.7 a game, finishing WR29.

He caught 81 of 122 targets for 777 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 9.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Keenan Allen was available for 2 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Geno Smith scored 12.7 PPR points a game and Keenan Allen 10.7, 2.0 a game between them.

Geno Smith finished QB23 and Keenan Allen WR29, which are two different ladders.

Geno Smith is a quarterback and Keenan Allen a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 13, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

7.4 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.