Tyler Warren or Terrance Ferguson: who should I start in Week 3?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Tyler Warren at 10.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 15 books. That is the 85th highest figure of the 186 players the books price.

The player markets price Terrance Ferguson at 10.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 books. That is the 93rd highest figure of the 186 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Tyler Warren: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 67th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 93.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Terrance Ferguson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 73rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 2

Through Week 2, Tyler Warren has been on the field for 91 percent of IND snaps, drawn 20 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 13 third down targets, had 1 of its 6 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 6 two minute targets.

His 12 targets have averaged 0.8 air yards.

In Week 1 against BAL he caught 3 of 5 targets for 13 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 2 against KC he carried 1 time for 3 yards, caught 6 of 7 targets for 21 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 2, Terrance Ferguson has been on the field for 54 percent of LAR snaps, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 14 third down targets, had 1 of its 5 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 3 two minute targets.

His 10 targets have averaged 7.8 air yards.

In Week 1 against SF he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against NYG he caught 6 of 9 targets for 54 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tyler Warren played 17 games and scored 188.5 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE4.

He caught 76 of 112 targets for 817 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 19 red zone targets.

That came to 6.6 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 10.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Terrance Ferguson played 14 games and scored 52.1 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing TE52.

He caught 11 of 25 targets for 231 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 3 red zone targets.

That came to 1.8 targets a game, a 44 percent catch rate and 21.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tyler Warren was available for 3 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Tyler Warren scored 11.1 PPR points a game and Terrance Ferguson 3.7, 7.4 a game between them.

Tyler Warren finished TE4 that year and Terrance Ferguson TE52.

Tyler Warren had 87 more targets than Terrance Ferguson, 112 to 25.

Tyler Warren had 586 more receiving yards than Terrance Ferguson, 817 to 231.

This season Tyler Warren holds the bigger snap share, 91 percent against 54 percent.

This season Tyler Warren holds the bigger target share, 20 percent against 18 percent.

Byes and availability

Tyler Warren is off in Week 13 and Terrance Ferguson in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Terrance Ferguson is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

0.4 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.