Start Tyler Warren or Terrance Ferguson? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Tyler Warren over Terrance Ferguson in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Tyler Warren at 11.6 points and Terrance Ferguson at 11.2, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 11.6 fantasy points for Tyler Warren, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Tyler Warren at 45.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 28% chance to score a touchdown (13, 12 and 14 books).

Player prop markets imply 11.2 fantasy points for Terrance Ferguson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Terrance Ferguson at 49.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 30% chance to score a touchdown (6, 5 and 15 books).

That puts Tyler Warren 0.4 points ahead of Terrance Ferguson on the books.

Injury status

Tyler Warren is not on the injury report.

Terrance Ferguson is not on the injury report.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Tyler Warren over Denzel Boston.
• Start Tyler Warren over Devaughn Vele.
• Start Tyler Warren over DJ Moore.
• Start Terrance Ferguson over Aaron Jones Sr..
• Start Terrance Ferguson over Courtland Sutton.
• Start Terrance Ferguson over Devaughn Vele.