Patrick Mahomes or Tyler Warren: who should I start in Week 3?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Patrick Mahomes at 18.3 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 books. That is the 10th highest figure of the 186 players the books price.

The player markets price Tyler Warren at 11.0 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 15 books. That is the 85th highest figure of the 186 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Patrick Mahomes: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 67th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 27.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Tyler Warren: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 65th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 93.

This season through Week 2

Through Week 2, Patrick Mahomes has been on the field for 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 84 times and thrown 5.3 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 9 of 84 dropbacks and scrambled 6 times.

In Week 1 against DEN he completed 15 of 27 passes for 184 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 4 times for 27 yards.

In Week 2 against IND he completed 32 of 47 passes for 382 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 17 yards.

Through Week 2, Tyler Warren has been on the field for 91 percent of IND snaps, drawn 20 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 13 third down targets, had 1 of its 6 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 6 two minute targets.

His 12 targets have averaged 0.8 air yards.

In Week 1 against BAL he caught 3 of 5 targets for 13 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 2 against KC he carried 1 time for 3 yards, caught 6 of 7 targets for 21 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes played 14 games and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.

He threw for 3587 yards on 502 attempts with 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 35.9 attempts a game at 7.1 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Tyler Warren played 17 games and scored 188.5 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE4.

He caught 76 of 112 targets for 817 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 19 red zone targets.

That came to 6.6 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 10.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tyler Warren was available for 3 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes scored 21.2 PPR points a game and Tyler Warren 11.1, 10.1 a game between them.

Patrick Mahomes finished QB11 and Tyler Warren TE4, which are two different ladders.

Patrick Mahomes is a quarterback and Tyler Warren a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Patrick Mahomes is off in Week 5 and Tyler Warren in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

7.3 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.