Terrance Ferguson or Isaiah Likely: who should I start in Week 3?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Terrance Ferguson at 10.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 15 books. That is the 94th highest figure of the 186 players the books price.

The player markets price Isaiah Likely at 9.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 15 books. That is the 101st highest figure of the 186 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Terrance Ferguson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 74th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Isaiah Likely: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 85th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 163.

This season through Week 2

Through Week 2, Terrance Ferguson has been on the field for 54 percent of LAR snaps, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 14 third down targets, had 1 of its 5 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 3 two minute targets.

His 10 targets have averaged 7.8 air yards.

In Week 1 against SF he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against NYG he caught 6 of 9 targets for 54 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 2, Isaiah Likely has been on the field for 58 percent of NYG snaps, drawn 30 percent of the targets and had 25 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 17 third down targets, had 1 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 6 two minute targets.

His 18 targets have averaged 6.2 air yards.

In Week 1 against DAL he caught 8 of 8 targets for 78 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 2 against LAR he caught 5 of 10 targets for 33 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Terrance Ferguson played 14 games and scored 52.1 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing TE52.

He caught 11 of 25 targets for 231 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 3 red zone targets.

That came to 1.8 targets a game, a 44 percent catch rate and 21.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Isaiah Likely played 14 games and scored 61.7 PPR points, 4.4 a game, finishing TE45.

He caught 27 of 36 targets for 307 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 2.6 targets a game, a 75 percent catch rate and 11.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 14 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Isaiah Likely scored 4.4 PPR points a game and Terrance Ferguson 3.7, 0.7 a game between them.

Terrance Ferguson finished TE52 that year and Isaiah Likely TE45.

Isaiah Likely had 11 more targets than Terrance Ferguson, 36 to 25.

Isaiah Likely had 76 more receiving yards than Terrance Ferguson, 307 to 231.

This season Isaiah Likely holds the bigger snap share, 58 percent against 54 percent.

This season Isaiah Likely holds the bigger target share, 30 percent against 18 percent.

Byes and availability

Terrance Ferguson is off in Week 11 and Isaiah Likely in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.3 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.