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Ace Bailey vs Jaylon Tyson: who to draft in 2026-27

Draft Jaylon Tyson in both formats: 24.9 fantasy points a game to 24.6 in points leagues, and 132nd against 168th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.

Ace Bailey
SFPFUTAage 20
Points leagues
#142
24.6 FP/G, slot 12.10, $3
9-cat leagues
#168
-3.0 z, slot 14.12
Jaylon Tyson
SFPFSGCLEage 23
Points leagues
#139
24.9 FP/G, slot 12.07, $3
9-cat leagues
#132
-2.1 z, slot 11.12, $4

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: draft Jaylon Tyson. 24.9 fantasy points per game against 24.6, 139th on our board to 142nd.

9-cat leagues: Jaylon Tyson again, -2.1 in summed z-scores against -3.0 (132nd to 168th).

Category by category, Ace Bailey is ahead in 3 (PTS, BLK and FT%) and Jaylon Tyson in 4 (REB, AST, 3PM and FG%).

Per 36 minutes, Jaylon Tyson produces more: 33.3 fantasy points to 32.1, on 26.9 minutes a night against 27.6. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Ace Bailey plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jaylon Tyson 2. For that week alone, start Ace Bailey: 73.8 projected fantasy points to 49.9 for Jaylon Tyson.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

Per game, side by side

Per gameAce BaileyJaylon Tyson
Fantasy points per game24.624.9
Minutes27.626.9
PointsPTS13.813.2
ReboundsREB4.25.1
AssistsAST1.82.2
StealsSTL0.80.8
BlocksBLK0.70.4
Threes3PM1.92.0
Field goal %FG%44.3%49.3%
Free throw %FT%75.0%73.8%
TurnoversTO1.51.5
Games, 2025-267266

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Ace BaileyJaylon Tyson
Fantasy points32.133.3
Points18.017.7
Rebounds5.56.8
Assists2.43.0
Steals1.11.1
Blocks0.90.6
Threes2.52.7
Turnovers1.92.0

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryAce BaileyJaylon Tyson
PointsPTS-0.5-0.6
ReboundsREB-0.7-0.3
AssistsAST-0.9-0.7
StealsSTL-0.5-0.6
BlocksBLK-0.0-0.5
Threes3PM+0.3+0.4
Field goal percentageFG%-0.9+0.1
Free throw percentageFT%-0.2-0.3
TurnoversTO+0.5+0.5
Total-3.0-2.1

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Ace Bailey.

PuntAce BaileyJaylon Tyson
PTS-2.6 (#198)-1.6 (#135)
REB-2.4 (#149)-1.9 (#132)
AST-2.2 (#151)-1.5 (#127)
STL-2.6 (#168)-1.6 (#125)
BLK-3.2 (#180)-1.7 (#118)
3PM-3.3 (#196)-2.5 (#159)
FG%-2.3 (#130)-2.4 (#132)
FT%-2.9 (#168)-1.9 (#127)
TO-3.6 (#161)-2.7 (#131)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Ace Bailey: 3 games (Wed @MEM, Fri NOP, Sun LAL).
  • Jaylon Tyson: 2 games (Thu @PHI, Sat BKN).

Ace Bailey or Jaylon Tyson: the Week 1 start/sit call

Recent games

  • Ace Bailey: 31.1 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 24.6 on the board.
  • Jaylon Tyson: 21.1 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 24.9 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Common questions

  • Should I draft Ace Bailey or Jaylon Tyson in 2026-27?

    Points leagues: draft Jaylon Tyson. 24.9 fantasy points per game against 24.6, 139th on our board to 142nd. 9-cat leagues: Jaylon Tyson again, -2.1 in summed z-scores against -3.0 (132nd to 168th).

  • Who wins more categories, Ace Bailey or Jaylon Tyson?

    Category by category, Ace Bailey is ahead in 3 (PTS, BLK and FT%) and Jaylon Tyson in 4 (REB, AST, 3PM and FG%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Ace Bailey or Jaylon Tyson?

    Ace Bailey plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jaylon Tyson 2. For that week alone, start Ace Bailey: 73.8 projected fantasy points to 49.9 for Jaylon Tyson.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number