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Ace Bailey vs Quentin Grimes: who to draft in 2026-27

Draft Ace Bailey in points leagues (24.6 fantasy points a game to 24.6) and Quentin Grimes in 9-cat leagues (165th against 168th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.

Ace Bailey
SFPFUTAage 20
Points leagues
#142
24.6 FP/G, slot 12.10, $3
9-cat leagues
#168
-3.0 z, slot 14.12

The pick in points leagues.

Quentin Grimes
SGSFLALage 26
Points leagues
#143
24.6 FP/G, slot 12.11, $3
9-cat leagues
#165
-2.9 z, slot 14.09

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: draft Ace Bailey. 24.6 fantasy points per game against 24.6, 142nd on our board to 143rd.

9-cat leagues: Quentin Grimes instead, -2.9 in summed z-scores against -3.0 (165th to 168th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Ace Bailey is ahead in 5 (PTS, REB, BLK, 3PM and TO) and Quentin Grimes in 4 (AST, STL, FG% and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Ace Bailey produces more: 32.1 fantasy points to 30.1, on 27.6 minutes a night against 29.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Ace Bailey plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Quentin Grimes 3. For that week alone, start Ace Bailey: 73.8 projected fantasy points to 73.7 for Quentin Grimes.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

Per game, side by side

Per gameAce BaileyQuentin Grimes
Fantasy points per game24.624.6
Minutes27.629.4
PointsPTS13.813.4
ReboundsREB4.23.6
AssistsAST1.83.3
StealsSTL0.80.9
BlocksBLK0.70.4
Threes3PM1.91.7
Field goal %FG%44.3%45.0%
Free throw %FT%75.0%84.0%
TurnoversTO1.51.8
Games, 2025-267275

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Ace BaileyQuentin Grimes
Fantasy points32.130.1
Points18.016.4
Rebounds5.54.5
Assists2.44.0
Steals1.11.0
Blocks0.90.5
Threes2.52.1
Turnovers1.92.2

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryAce BaileyQuentin Grimes
PointsPTS-0.5-0.6
ReboundsREB-0.7-1.0
AssistsAST-0.9-0.2
StealsSTL-0.5-0.5
BlocksBLK-0.0-0.7
Threes3PM+0.3+0.0
Field goal percentageFG%-0.9-0.6
Free throw percentageFT%-0.2+0.4
TurnoversTO+0.5+0.1
Total-3.0-2.9

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting assists, field goal percentage and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Ace Bailey.

PuntAce BaileyQuentin Grimes
PTS-2.6 (#198)-2.4 (#185)
REB-2.4 (#149)-2.1 (#136)
AST-2.2 (#151)-2.8 (#187)
STL-2.6 (#168)-2.5 (#166)
BLK-3.2 (#180)-2.4 (#149)
3PM-3.3 (#196)-3.0 (#180)
FG%-2.3 (#130)-2.5 (#134)
FT%-2.9 (#168)-3.4 (#189)
TO-3.6 (#161)-3.2 (#145)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Ace Bailey: 3 games (Wed @MEM, Fri NOP, Sun LAL).
  • Quentin Grimes: 3 games (Wed GSW, Fri LAC, Sun @UTA).

Ace Bailey or Quentin Grimes: the Week 1 start/sit call

Recent games

  • Ace Bailey: 31.1 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 24.6 on the board.
  • Quentin Grimes: 19.7 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 24.6 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Common questions

  • Should I draft Ace Bailey or Quentin Grimes in 2026-27?

    Points leagues: draft Ace Bailey. 24.6 fantasy points per game against 24.6, 142nd on our board to 143rd. 9-cat leagues: Quentin Grimes instead, -2.9 in summed z-scores against -3.0 (165th to 168th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Ace Bailey or Quentin Grimes?

    Category by category, Ace Bailey is ahead in 5 (PTS, REB, BLK, 3PM and TO) and Quentin Grimes in 4 (AST, STL, FG% and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Ace Bailey or Quentin Grimes?

    Ace Bailey plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Quentin Grimes 3. For that week alone, start Ace Bailey: 73.8 projected fantasy points to 73.7 for Quentin Grimes.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number