Alex Sarr vs Trey Murphy: who to draft in 2026-27
Draft Trey Murphy in both formats: 37.8 fantasy points a game to 35.9 in points leagues, and 11th against 45th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.
- Points leagues
- #44
- 35.9 FP/G, slot 4.08, $20
- 9-cat leagues
- #45
- +0.7 z, slot 4.09, $19
- Points leagues
- #41
- 37.8 FP/G, slot 4.05, $23
- 9-cat leagues
- #11
- +3.8 z, slot 1.11, $36
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: draft Trey Murphy. 37.8 fantasy points per game against 35.9, 41st on our board to 44th.
9-cat leagues: Trey Murphy again, +3.8 in summed z-scores against +0.7 (11th to 45th).
Category by category, Alex Sarr is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Trey Murphy in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Alex Sarr produces more: 47.6 fantasy points to 38.4, on 27.2 minutes a night against 35.5. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Alex Sarr plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Trey Murphy 3. For that week alone, start Trey Murphy: 113.5 projected fantasy points to 107.8 for Alex Sarr.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Alex Sarr | Trey Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 35.9 | 37.8 |
| Minutes | 27.2 | 35.5 |
| PointsPTS | 16.3 | 21.5 |
| ReboundsREB | 7.4 | 5.7 |
| AssistsAST | 2.7 | 3.8 |
| StealsSTL | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| BlocksBLK | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| Threes3PM | 1.0 | 3.2 |
| Field goal %FG% | 48.2% | 47.0% |
| Free throw %FT% | 69.2% | 88.6% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 48 | 66 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Alex Sarr | Trey Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 47.6 | 38.4 |
| Points | 21.6 | 21.8 |
| Rebounds | 9.8 | 5.8 |
| Assists | 3.6 | 3.8 |
| Steals | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Blocks | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| Threes | 1.4 | 3.3 |
| Turnovers | 2.3 | 1.8 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Alex Sarr | Trey Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.1 | +0.8 |
| ReboundsREB | +0.7 | -0.1 |
| AssistsAST | -0.5 | +0.1 |
| StealsSTL | -0.6 | +1.4 |
| BlocksBLK | +2.7 | -0.7 |
| Threes3PM | -0.6 | +1.6 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.1 | -0.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -1.0 | +1.0 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| Total | +0.7 | +3.8 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
No punt changes the answer: Trey Murphy stays ahead whichever category you give up.
| Punt | Alex Sarr | Trey Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | +0.7 (#39) | +2.8 (#10) |
| REB | -0.2 (#63) | +3.9 (#10) |
| AST | +1.2 (#33) | +3.6 (#8) |
| STL | +1.2 (#31) | +2.4 (#20) |
| BLK | -2.2 (#143) | +4.5 (#10) |
| 3PM | +1.3 (#34) | +1.9 (#24) |
| FG% | +0.4 (#54) | +4.6 (#10) |
| FT% | +1.7 (#28) | +2.6 (#18) |
| TO | +0.4 (#55) | +3.8 (#18) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Alex Sarr: 3 games (Wed MIL, Fri TOR, Sat @CHI), 1 back-to-back.
- Trey Murphy: 3 games (Wed IND, Fri @UTA, Sat @DEN), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Alex Sarr: 27.3 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 35.9 on the board.
- Trey Murphy: 35.7 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 37.8 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Common questions
Should I draft Alex Sarr or Trey Murphy in 2026-27?
Points leagues: draft Trey Murphy. 37.8 fantasy points per game against 35.9, 41st on our board to 44th. 9-cat leagues: Trey Murphy again, +3.8 in summed z-scores against +0.7 (11th to 45th).
Who wins more categories, Alex Sarr or Trey Murphy?
Category by category, Alex Sarr is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Trey Murphy in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Alex Sarr or Trey Murphy?
Alex Sarr plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Trey Murphy 3. For that week alone, start Trey Murphy: 113.5 projected fantasy points to 107.8 for Alex Sarr.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number