Duncan Robinson vs Keldon Johnson: who to draft in 2026-27
Draft Keldon Johnson in points leagues (22.9 fantasy points a game to 20.4) and Duncan Robinson in 9-cat leagues (171st against 172nd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.
- Points leagues
- #204
- 20.4 FP/G, slot 17.12
- 9-cat leagues
- #171
- -3.1 z, slot 15.03
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #163
- 22.9 FP/G, slot 14.07
- 9-cat leagues
- #172
- -3.1 z, slot 15.04
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: draft Keldon Johnson. 22.9 fantasy points per game against 20.4, 163rd on our board to 204th.
9-cat leagues: Duncan Robinson instead, -3.1 in summed z-scores against -3.1 (171st to 172nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Duncan Robinson is ahead in 4 (AST, BLK, 3PM and TO) and Keldon Johnson in 4 (PTS, REB, FG% and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Keldon Johnson produces more: 35.3 fantasy points to 26.7, on 23.3 minutes a night against 27.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Duncan Robinson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Keldon Johnson 3. For that week alone, start Keldon Johnson: 68.7 projected fantasy points to 61.1 for Duncan Robinson.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Duncan Robinson | Keldon Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 20.4 | 22.9 |
| Minutes | 27.4 | 23.3 |
| PointsPTS | 12.2 | 13.2 |
| ReboundsREB | 2.7 | 5.4 |
| AssistsAST | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| StealsSTL | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Threes3PM | 2.9 | 1.2 |
| Field goal %FG% | 45.6% | 51.9% |
| Free throw %FT% | 75.5% | 79.4% |
| TurnoversTO | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 77 | 82 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Duncan Robinson | Keldon Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 26.7 | 35.3 |
| Points | 16.0 | 20.4 |
| Rebounds | 3.5 | 8.3 |
| Assists | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| Steals | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Threes | 3.7 | 1.9 |
| Turnovers | 0.9 | 1.3 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Duncan Robinson | Keldon Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.8 | -0.6 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.4 | -0.2 |
| AssistsAST | -0.8 | -1.1 |
| StealsSTL | -1.3 | -1.3 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.8 | -1.1 |
| Threes3PM | +1.2 | -0.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.5 | +0.5 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.2 | -0.0 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.5 | +1.3 |
| Total | -3.1 | -3.1 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting assists, blocks, threes and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Keldon Johnson.
| Punt | Duncan Robinson | Keldon Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -2.3 (#179) | -2.5 (#191) |
| REB | -1.7 (#123) | -3.0 (#194) |
| AST | -2.3 (#156) | -2.0 (#145) |
| STL | -1.9 (#132) | -1.9 (#134) |
| BLK | -2.3 (#145) | -2.1 (#139) |
| 3PM | -4.3 (#240) | -2.7 (#173) |
| FG% | -2.6 (#141) | -3.9 (#196) |
| FT% | -2.9 (#169) | -3.1 (#174) |
| TO | -4.6 (#196) | -4.6 (#192) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Duncan Robinson: 3 games (Tue BOS, Fri @MIA, Sun @PHI).
- Keldon Johnson: 3 games (Tue OKC, Fri HOU, Sat @DAL), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Duncan Robinson: 21.5 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 20.4 on the board.
- Keldon Johnson: 24.7 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 22.9 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Common questions
Should I draft Duncan Robinson or Keldon Johnson in 2026-27?
Points leagues: draft Keldon Johnson. 22.9 fantasy points per game against 20.4, 163rd on our board to 204th. 9-cat leagues: Duncan Robinson instead, -3.1 in summed z-scores against -3.1 (171st to 172nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Duncan Robinson or Keldon Johnson?
Category by category, Duncan Robinson is ahead in 4 (AST, BLK, 3PM and TO) and Keldon Johnson in 4 (PTS, REB, FG% and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Duncan Robinson or Keldon Johnson?
Duncan Robinson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Keldon Johnson 3. For that week alone, start Keldon Johnson: 68.7 projected fantasy points to 61.1 for Duncan Robinson.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number