Herbert Jones vs Pelle Larsson: who to draft in 2026-27
Draft Pelle Larsson in points leagues (22.0 fantasy points a game to 21.9) and Herbert Jones in 9-cat leagues (158th against 218th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.
- Points leagues
- #183
- 21.9 FP/G, slot 16.03
- 9-cat leagues
- #158
- -2.7 z, slot 14.02
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #181
- 22.0 FP/G, slot 16.01
- 9-cat leagues
- #218
- -4.1 z, slot 19.02
Day to day (Illness)
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: draft Pelle Larsson. 22.0 fantasy points per game against 21.9, 181st on our board to 183rd.
9-cat leagues: Herbert Jones instead, -2.7 in summed z-scores against -4.1 (158th to 218th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Herbert Jones is ahead in 4 (STL, BLK, 3PM and TO) and Pelle Larsson in 3 (PTS, AST and FG%).
Per 36 minutes, Pelle Larsson produces more: 30.0 fantasy points to 27.9, on 26.4 minutes a night against 28.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Herbert Jones plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Pelle Larsson 3. For that week alone, start Pelle Larsson: 66.0 projected fantasy points to 65.8 for Herbert Jones.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Herbert Jones | Pelle Larsson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 21.9 | 22.0 |
| Minutes | 28.4 | 26.4 |
| PointsPTS | 8.9 | 11.4 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.4 | 3.5 |
| AssistsAST | 2.8 | 3.4 |
| StealsSTL | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Threes3PM | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Field goal %FG% | 38.3% | 49.6% |
| Free throw %FT% | 80.6% | 79.7% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 56 | 70 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Herbert Jones | Pelle Larsson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 27.9 | 30.0 |
| Points | 11.2 | 15.6 |
| Rebounds | 4.3 | 4.8 |
| Assists | 3.5 | 4.6 |
| Steals | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Threes | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Turnovers | 1.7 | 2.0 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Herbert Jones | Pelle Larsson |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.4 | -0.9 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.1 | -1.1 |
| AssistsAST | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| StealsSTL | +1.6 | -0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.4 | -1.0 |
| Threes3PM | -0.2 | -0.8 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -1.4 | +0.1 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.0 | -0.0 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.7 | +0.5 |
| Total | -2.7 | -4.1 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting steals flips the 9-cat answer to Pelle Larsson.
| Punt | Herbert Jones | Pelle Larsson |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.4 (#126) | -3.2 (#236) |
| REB | -1.8 (#128) | -3.3 (#209) |
| AST | -2.3 (#161) | -4.0 (#246) |
| STL | -4.3 (#260) | -3.3 (#200) |
| BLK | -2.5 (#150) | -3.4 (#196) |
| 3PM | -2.5 (#156) | -3.4 (#201) |
| FG% | -1.5 (#101) | -4.7 (#237) |
| FT% | -2.7 (#161) | -4.1 (#225) |
| TO | -3.5 (#157) | -4.8 (#204) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Herbert Jones: 3 games (Wed IND, Fri @UTA, Sat @DEN), 1 back-to-back.
- Pelle Larsson: 3 games (Wed MIN, Fri DET, Sat @CHA), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.
Recent games
- Herbert Jones: 19.1 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 21.9 on the board.
- Pelle Larsson: 25.4 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 22.0 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Common questions
Should I draft Herbert Jones or Pelle Larsson in 2026-27?
Points leagues: draft Pelle Larsson. 22.0 fantasy points per game against 21.9, 181st on our board to 183rd. 9-cat leagues: Herbert Jones instead, -2.7 in summed z-scores against -4.1 (158th to 218th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Herbert Jones or Pelle Larsson?
Category by category, Herbert Jones is ahead in 4 (STL, BLK, 3PM and TO) and Pelle Larsson in 3 (PTS, AST and FG%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Herbert Jones or Pelle Larsson?
Herbert Jones plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Pelle Larsson 3. For that week alone, start Pelle Larsson: 66.0 projected fantasy points to 65.8 for Herbert Jones.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number