Pelle Larsson vs Robert Williams: who to draft in 2026-27
Draft Robert Williams in both formats: 22.1 fantasy points a game to 22.0 in points leagues, and 105th against 218th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.
- Points leagues
- #181
- 22.0 FP/G, slot 16.01
- 9-cat leagues
- #218
- -4.1 z, slot 19.02
Day to day (Illness)
- Points leagues
- #180
- 22.1 FP/G, slot 15.12
- 9-cat leagues
- #105
- -1.4 z, slot 9.09, $8
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: draft Robert Williams. 22.1 fantasy points per game against 22.0, 180th on our board to 181st.
9-cat leagues: Robert Williams again, -1.4 in summed z-scores against -4.1 (105th to 218th).
Category by category, Pelle Larsson is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Robert Williams in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Robert Williams produces more: 46.5 fantasy points to 30.0, on 17.1 minutes a night against 26.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Pelle Larsson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Robert Williams 2. For that week alone, start Pelle Larsson: 66.0 projected fantasy points to 44.1 for Robert Williams.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Pelle Larsson | Robert Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 22.0 | 22.1 |
| Minutes | 26.4 | 17.1 |
| PointsPTS | 11.4 | 6.7 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.5 | 7.0 |
| AssistsAST | 3.4 | 1.0 |
| StealsSTL | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.2 | 1.5 |
| Threes3PM | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Field goal %FG% | 49.6% | 70.8% |
| Free throw %FT% | 79.7% | 59.6% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 70 | 59 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Pelle Larsson | Robert Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 30.0 | 46.5 |
| Points | 15.6 | 14.2 |
| Rebounds | 4.8 | 14.8 |
| Assists | 4.6 | 2.1 |
| Steals | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 3.1 |
| Threes | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| Turnovers | 2.0 | 1.8 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Pelle Larsson | Robert Williams |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.9 | -1.7 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.1 | +0.5 |
| AssistsAST | -0.2 | -1.3 |
| StealsSTL | -0.9 | -1.2 |
| BlocksBLK | -1.0 | +1.6 |
| Threes3PM | -0.8 | -1.5 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +0.1 | +1.5 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.0 | -0.6 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.5 | +1.3 |
| Total | -4.1 | -1.4 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
No punt changes the answer: Robert Williams stays ahead whichever category you give up.
| Punt | Pelle Larsson | Robert Williams |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -3.2 (#236) | +0.3 (#51) |
| REB | -3.3 (#209) | -2.2 (#142) |
| AST | -4.0 (#246) | +0.0 (#59) |
| STL | -3.3 (#200) | -0.2 (#70) |
| BLK | -3.4 (#196) | -3.3 (#190) |
| 3PM | -3.4 (#201) | +0.2 (#57) |
| FG% | -4.7 (#237) | -3.4 (#172) |
| FT% | -4.1 (#225) | -0.7 (#84) |
| TO | -4.8 (#204) | -3.0 (#136) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Pelle Larsson: 3 games (Wed MIN, Fri DET, Sat @CHA), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.
- Robert Williams: 2 games (Wed PHX, Fri @SAC).
Recent games
- Pelle Larsson: 25.4 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 22.0 on the board.
- Robert Williams: 20.9 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 22.1 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Common questions
Should I draft Pelle Larsson or Robert Williams in 2026-27?
Points leagues: draft Robert Williams. 22.1 fantasy points per game against 22.0, 180th on our board to 181st. 9-cat leagues: Robert Williams again, -1.4 in summed z-scores against -4.1 (105th to 218th).
Who wins more categories, Pelle Larsson or Robert Williams?
Category by category, Pelle Larsson is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Robert Williams in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Pelle Larsson or Robert Williams?
Pelle Larsson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Robert Williams 2. For that week alone, start Pelle Larsson: 66.0 projected fantasy points to 44.1 for Robert Williams.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number