Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Chuba Hubbard? Week 1

Our Week 1 call

Start Chuba Hubbard over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 1.

Chuba Hubbard is priced by the books at 3.3 projected points. Aaron Jones Sr. has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Chuba Hubbard at ADP 72 and Aaron Jones Sr. at 91. Market coverage on Chuba Hubbard is 33 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 3.3 fantasy points for Chuba Hubbard, with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Chuba Hubbard and CAR host CHI on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CHI allowed 33.7 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 8th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 91 yards and a touchdown against CHI and caught passes for 86 more yards.

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN host GB.

GB allowed 23.0 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 16th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 99 yards and 2 touchdowns against GB and caught passes for 1 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Chuba Hubbard has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Chuba Hubbard was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Aaron Jones Sr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Chuba Hubbard played 15 games for CAR and scored 125.4 PPR points, 8.4 a game, finishing RB38.

He ran 134 times for 511 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 30 of 39 targets for 223 yards.

He was on the field for 47 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Chuba Hubbard, Week 18 of 2025 against TB: 23 of 51 snaps, 5 carries for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 3.7 PPR points.

Chuba Hubbard, Week 17 of 2025 against SEA: 20 of 53 snaps, 4 carries for 12 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 6 yards, 2.8 PPR points.

Chuba Hubbard, Week 16 of 2025 against TB: 22 of 54 snaps, 6 carries for 27 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards, 4.4 PPR points.

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 39 of 61 snaps, 21 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 11.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 15 of 2025 against DAL: 32 of 55 snaps, 12 carries for 34 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 31 yards, 9.5 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Chuba Hubbard scored 23.7 PPR points and Aaron Jones Sr. scored 10.0.

The call was right: Chuba Hubbard outscored Aaron Jones Sr. by 13.7.

Chuba Hubbard finished 20.4 points above the 3.3 the props implied.

Chuba Hubbard, Week 1 against CHI: 48 of 68 snaps, 10 carries for 49 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 38 yards, 2 touchdowns, 23.7 PPR points.

Chuba Hubbard finished as the week's RB10 in PPR scoring.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 1 against GB: 30 of 65 snaps, 12 carries for 40 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 10.0 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr. finished as the week's RB26 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

• Start Chuba Hubbard over Aaron Jones Sr..
• Start Jadarian Price over Chuba Hubbard.
• Start Jaylen Warren over Chuba Hubbard.
• Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Jacory Croskey-Merritt.
• Start Jaleel McLaughlin over Aaron Jones Sr..
• Start J.K. Dobbins over Aaron Jones Sr..