Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Josh Jacobs? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Josh Jacobs
Right: 10.0 to 0.0- Books imply
- 5.1
- fantasy pts
- GB D vs RB
- 23.0
- 16th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 46%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 4%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 10.0
- PPR pts
- MIN D vs RB
- 6.6
- fewest to RBs (2026)
- Scored
- 0.0
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Josh Jacobs in Week 1.
Josh Jacobs is listed na on our news wire, so this is not a close call: start Aaron Jones Sr.. Drafters take Aaron Jones Sr. at ADP 97 and Josh Jacobs at 105. Market coverage on Aaron Jones Sr. is 60 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 5.1 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 60 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Josh Jacobs in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN host GB on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
GB allowed 23.0 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 16th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 99 yards and 2 touchdowns against GB and caught passes for 1 more yards.
Josh Jacobs and GB visit MIN.
MIN allowed 6.6 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 66 yards and no touchdowns against MIN and caught passes for 0 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Aaron Jones Sr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Josh Jacobs was listed as na when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.
He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.
He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.
Aaron Jones Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 39 of 61 snaps, 21 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 11.3 PPR points.
Aaron Jones Sr., Week 15 of 2025 against DAL: 32 of 55 snaps, 12 carries for 34 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 31 yards, 9.5 PPR points.
In 2025, Josh Jacobs played 15 games for GB and scored 237.1 PPR points, 15.8 a game, finishing RB13.
He ran 234 times for 929 yards and 13 touchdowns, and caught 36 of 44 targets for 282 yards.
He was on the field for 59 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Josh Jacobs, Week 17 of 2025 against BAL: 13 of 47 snaps, 4 carries for 3 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards, 1.3 PPR points.
Josh Jacobs, Week 16 of 2025 against CHI: 28 of 72 snaps, 12 carries for 36 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards, 4.8 PPR points.
Josh Jacobs, Week 15 of 2025 against DEN: 36 of 66 snaps, 12 carries for 73 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 19 yards, 2 touchdowns, 23.2 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Aaron Jones Sr. scored 10.0 PPR points and Josh Jacobs scored 0.0.
The call was right: Aaron Jones Sr. outscored Josh Jacobs by 10.0.
Aaron Jones Sr. finished 4.9 points above the 5.1 the props implied.
Aaron Jones Sr., Week 1 against GB: 30 of 65 snaps, 12 carries for 40 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 10.0 PPR points.
Aaron Jones Sr. finished as the week's RB26 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB23 · MIN · bye 6
2025 vs rush yds line 4-8
- Overall rank
- 50
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB53 · GB · bye 11
2025 vs rush yds line 8-7
- Overall rank
- 205
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 11
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board155
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 4 and tier 11
- Board size244 draftable players
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