Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Chris Godwin Jr.? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Chris Godwin Jr.
- Books imply
- 8.9
- fantasy pts
- Books imply
- 8.9
- fantasy pts
- MIN D vs WR
- 38.9
- 10th most to WRs (2026)
Our Week 3 call
Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Chris Godwin Jr. in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Aaron Jones Sr. at 8.9 points and Chris Godwin Jr. at 8.9, a gap of 0.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Chris Godwin Jr.'s number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 9.0 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books give Aaron Jones Sr. a 51% chance to score a touchdown (15 books).
Player prop markets imply 8.9 fantasy points for Chris Godwin Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Chris Godwin Jr. at 35.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 22% chance to score a touchdown (15, 12 and 14 books).
That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 0.0 points ahead of Chris Godwin Jr. on the books.
Week 3 matchups
Chris Godwin Jr. and TB host MIN on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.
MIN allowed 38.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 2 games, the 10th most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 194 yards and a touchdown a game against MIN.
Injury status
Aaron Jones Sr. is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.
Chris Godwin Jr. is not on the injury report.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Chris Godwin Jr. played 9 games for TB and scored 83.0 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing WR78.
He caught 33 of 51 targets for 360 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 154 air yards.
He was on the field for 71 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Chris Godwin Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 47 of 67 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 8 yards, 1.8 PPR points.
Chris Godwin Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against MIA: 53 of 67 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 108 yards, 1 touchdown, 23.8 PPR points.
Chris Godwin Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against CAR: 41 of 64 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 30 yards, 8.0 PPR points.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB18 · MIN · bye 6
2025 vs rush yds line 4-8
- Overall rank
- 32
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
WR46 · TB · bye 10
2025 vs rec yds line 3-6
- Overall rank
- 112
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 12
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board80
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 5 and tier 12
- Board size230 draftable players
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