Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Courtland Sutton? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Courtland Sutton
- Books imply
- 9.4
- fantasy pts
- Books imply
- 9.2
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 74%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 16%
- Through Week 2
Our Week 3 call
Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Courtland Sutton in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Aaron Jones Sr. at 9.4 points and Courtland Sutton at 9.2, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Aaron Jones Sr.'s number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 9.4 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books give Aaron Jones Sr. a 51% chance to score a touchdown (14 books).
Player prop markets imply 9.2 fantasy points for Courtland Sutton, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Courtland Sutton at 38.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 27% chance to score a touchdown (15, 13 and 15 books).
That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 0.2 points ahead of Courtland Sutton on the books.
Injury status
Aaron Jones Sr. is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.
Courtland Sutton is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 3
Through Week 2, Courtland Sutton played 74 percent of DEN snaps, drew 16 percent of the targets, earned 20 percent of the air yards and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.
Courtland Sutton, Week 1 against KC: 39 of 51 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 11 yards.
Courtland Sutton, Week 2 against JAX: 45 of 62 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 25 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Courtland Sutton played 17 games for DEN and scored 219.7 PPR points, 12.9 a game, finishing WR13.
He caught 74 of 124 targets for 1017 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 795 air yards.
He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Courtland Sutton, Week 18 of 2025 against LAC: 2 targets and 1 catch for 5 yards, 1.5 PPR points.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB19 · MIN · bye 6
2025 vs rush yds line 4-8
- Overall rank
- 33
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
WR37 · DEN · bye 10
2025 vs rec yds line 10-7
- Overall rank
- 91
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 10
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board58
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 5 and tier 10
- Board size230 draftable players
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