Start D'Andre Swift or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Aaron Jones Sr. over D'Andre Swift
- Books imply
- 13.6
- fantasy pts
- Books imply
- 14.7
- fantasy pts
- PHI D vs RB
- 18.2
- 15th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 62%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 11%
- Through Week 2
Our Week 3 call
Start Aaron Jones Sr. over D'Andre Swift in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Aaron Jones Sr. at 13.6 points and D'Andre Swift at 14.7, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 14.7 fantasy points for D'Andre Swift, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The books have D'Andre Swift at 68.5 rushing yards, with a 52% chance to score a touchdown (5 and 15 books).
Player prop markets imply 13.6 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The books have Aaron Jones Sr. at 65.5 rushing yards, 13.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 50% chance to score a touchdown (8, 6, 4 and 15 books).
That puts D'Andre Swift 1.1 points ahead of Aaron Jones Sr. on the books.
Week 3 matchups
D'Andre Swift and CHI host PHI on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.
PHI allowed 18.2 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 2 games, the 15th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 108 yards and 0.5 touchdowns a game against PHI and caught passes for 14 more yards.
Injury status
D'Andre Swift is not on the injury report.
Aaron Jones Sr. is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.
Usage before Week 3
Through Week 2, D'Andre Swift played 62 percent of CHI snaps, took 49 percent of the carries, drew 11 percent of the targets and had 36 percent of the red zone chances.
D'Andre Swift, Week 1 against CAR: 43 of 75 snaps, 18 carries for 124 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 10 yards, 3 touchdowns.
D'Andre Swift, Week 2 against MIN: 50 of 74 snaps, 16 carries for 45 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 54 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, D'Andre Swift played 16 games for CHI and scored 228.6 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing RB15.
He ran 223 times for 1087 yards and 9 touchdowns, and caught 34 of 48 targets for 299 yards.
He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
D'Andre Swift, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 10 carries for 40 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 8 yards, 5.8 PPR points.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB16 · CHI · bye 10
2025 vs rush yds line 10-6
- Overall rank
- 25
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB18 · MIN · bye 6
2025 vs rush yds line 4-8
- Overall rank
- 32
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board7
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 4 and tier 5
- Board size230 draftable players
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