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Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Jordan Addison? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Jordan Addison

Start

Aaron Jones Sr.

WR · Questionable

Books imply
9.4
fantasy pts
Books imply
9.2
fantasy pts
Snap share
85%
Through Week 2
Target share
17%
Through Week 2

Our Week 3 call

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Jordan Addison in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Aaron Jones Sr. at 9.4 points and Jordan Addison at 9.2, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 9.4 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books give Aaron Jones Sr. a 51% chance to score a touchdown (14 books).

Player prop markets imply 9.2 fantasy points for Jordan Addison, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Jordan Addison at 35.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 24% chance to score a touchdown (15, 12 and 14 books).

That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 0.2 points ahead of Jordan Addison on the books.

Injury status

Aaron Jones Sr. is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.

Jordan Addison is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Jordan Addison played 85 percent of MIN snaps, drew 17 percent of the targets, earned 21 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Jordan Addison, Week 1 against GB: 54 of 65 snaps, 2 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Jordan Addison, Week 2 against CHI: 46 of 52 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 21 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jordan Addison played 14 games for MIN and scored 135.1 PPR points, 9.7 a game, finishing WR45.

He caught 42 of 79 targets for 610 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 477 air yards.

He was on the field for 85 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jordan Addison, Week 18 of 2025 against GB: 3 targets and 1 catch for 8 yards, 1.8 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB18 · MIN · bye 6

2025 vs rush yds line 4-8

Overall rank
32
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
7

Ranked behind

WR38 · MIN · bye 6

2025 vs catches line 5-9

Overall rank
96
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
12

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board64
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 7 and tier 12
  • Board size230 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board