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Start Kyle Monangai or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Kyle Monangai

Start

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB · MIN · vs GB

GB D vs RB
23.0
16th fewest to RBs (2026)
Sit

Kyle Monangai

RB · CHI · at CAR

CAR D vs RB
52.8
most to RBs (2026)

Our Week 1 call

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Kyle Monangai in Week 1.

Neither player has a posted player market for this week, so this call is ADP and news based rather than priced against the betting market. Drafters take Aaron Jones Sr. at ADP 97 and Kyle Monangai at 114.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 1.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Kyle Monangai in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN host GB.

GB allowed 23.0 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 16th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 99 yards and 2 touchdowns against GB and caught passes for 1 more yards.

Kyle Monangai and CHI visit CAR.

CAR allowed 52.8 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the most in the league.

Running backs ran for 224 yards and 4 touchdowns against CAR and caught passes for 34 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Kyle Monangai has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Jones Sr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Kyle Monangai was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 39 of 61 snaps, 21 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 11.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 15 of 2025 against DAL: 32 of 55 snaps, 12 carries for 34 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 31 yards, 9.5 PPR points.

In 2025, Kyle Monangai played 17 games for CHI and scored 146.7 PPR points, 8.6 a game, finishing RB30.

He ran 169 times for 783 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 18 of 30 targets for 164 yards.

He was on the field for 41 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Kyle Monangai, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 6 carries for 14 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 15 yards, 5.9 PPR points.

Kyle Monangai, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 27 of 66 snaps, 8 carries for 38 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards, 7.7 PPR points.

Kyle Monangai, Week 16 of 2025 against GB: 29 of 64 snaps, 9 carries for 50 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 43 yards, 12.3 PPR points.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB20 · CHI · bye 10

2025 vs anytime td line 5-12

Overall rank
47
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

Ranked behind

RB23 · MIN · bye 6

2025 vs rush yds line 4-8

Overall rank
50
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board3
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 4
  • Board size244 draftable players

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