Start Kyle Monangai or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 1

Our Week 1 call

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Kyle Monangai in Week 1.

Aaron Jones Sr. is priced by the books at 5.1 projected points. Kyle Monangai has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Aaron Jones Sr. at ADP 97 and Kyle Monangai at 114. Market coverage on Aaron Jones Sr. is 60 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 5.1 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 60 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Kyle Monangai in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN host GB on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

GB allowed 23.0 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 16th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 99 yards and 2 touchdowns against GB and caught passes for 1 more yards.

Kyle Monangai and CHI visit CAR.

CAR allowed 52.8 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the most in the league.

Running backs ran for 224 yards and 4 touchdowns against CAR and caught passes for 34 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Kyle Monangai has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Jones Sr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Kyle Monangai was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 39 of 61 snaps, 21 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 11.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 15 of 2025 against DAL: 32 of 55 snaps, 12 carries for 34 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 31 yards, 9.5 PPR points.

In 2025, Kyle Monangai played 17 games for CHI and scored 146.7 PPR points, 8.6 a game, finishing RB30.

He ran 169 times for 783 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 18 of 30 targets for 164 yards.

He was on the field for 41 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Kyle Monangai, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 6 carries for 14 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 15 yards, 5.9 PPR points.

Kyle Monangai, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 27 of 66 snaps, 8 carries for 38 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards, 7.7 PPR points.

Kyle Monangai, Week 16 of 2025 against GB: 29 of 64 snaps, 9 carries for 50 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 43 yards, 12.3 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Aaron Jones Sr. scored 10.0 PPR points and Kyle Monangai scored 20.4.

The call was wrong: Kyle Monangai outscored Aaron Jones Sr. by 10.4.

Aaron Jones Sr. finished 4.9 points above the 5.1 the props implied.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 1 against GB: 30 of 65 snaps, 12 carries for 40 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 10.0 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr. finished as the week's RB26 in PPR scoring.

Kyle Monangai, Week 1 against CAR: 32 of 75 snaps, 10 carries for 100 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 24 yards, 1 touchdown, 20.4 PPR points.

Kyle Monangai finished as the week's RB11 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

• Start Chuba Hubbard over Aaron Jones Sr..
• Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Jacory Croskey-Merritt.
• Start J.K. Dobbins over Aaron Jones Sr..
• Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Kyle Monangai.
• Start Kyle Monangai over Blake Corum.
• Start Kyle Monangai over Jacory Croskey-Merritt.