Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Xavier Worthy? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Xavier Worthy over Aaron Jones Sr.
- Books imply
- 9.6
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 82%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 19%
- Through Week 2
- Books imply
- 9.4
- fantasy pts
Our Week 3 call
Start Xavier Worthy over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Xavier Worthy at 9.6 points and Aaron Jones Sr. at 9.4, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Aaron Jones Sr.'s number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 9.6 fantasy points for Xavier Worthy, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Xavier Worthy at 36.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 33% chance to score a touchdown (14, 10 and 15 books).
Player prop markets imply 9.4 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books give Aaron Jones Sr. a 51% chance to score a touchdown (14 books).
That puts Xavier Worthy 0.2 points ahead of Aaron Jones Sr. on the books.
Injury status
Xavier Worthy is not on the injury report.
Aaron Jones Sr. is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.
Usage before Week 3
Through Week 2, Xavier Worthy played 82 percent of KC snaps, drew 19 percent of the targets, earned 21 percent of the air yards and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.
Xavier Worthy, Week 1 against DEN: 53 of 69 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 18 yards.
Xavier Worthy, Week 2 against IND: 69 of 80 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 25 yards, 1 touchdown.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Xavier Worthy played 14 games for KC and scored 109.9 PPR points, 7.9 a game, finishing WR59.
He caught 42 of 73 targets for 532 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets and 339 air yards.
He was on the field for 70 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Xavier Worthy, Week 17 of 2025 against DEN: 34 of 43 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 3 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.1 PPR points.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB18 · MIN · bye 6
2025 vs rush yds line 4-8
- Overall rank
- 32
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
WR33 · KC · bye 5
2025 vs rec yds line 5-9
- Overall rank
- 81
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 12
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board49
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 5 and tier 12
- Board size230 draftable players
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