Start Deshaun Watson or Aaron Rodgers? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Deshaun Watson over Aaron Rodgers in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Deshaun Watson at 16.9 points and Aaron Rodgers at 16.3, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 16.9 fantasy points for Deshaun Watson, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Deshaun Watson at 190.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 25.5 rushing yards, with a 19% chance to score a touchdown (14, 16, 13 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 16.3 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Aaron Rodgers at 220.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 6% chance to score a touchdown (14, 16 and 15 books).

That puts Deshaun Watson 0.6 points ahead of Aaron Rodgers on the books.

Injury status

Deshaun Watson is not on the injury report.

Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Deshaun Watson played 100 percent of CLE snaps, dropped back 65 times and threw an average of 6.5 air yards per attempt.

Deshaun Watson, Week 1 against JAX: 51 of 51 snaps, 16 of 22 passes for 205 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 6 carries for 38 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 2 against TB: 58 of 58 snaps, 24 of 30 passes for 238 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 24 yards.

Through Week 2, Aaron Rodgers played 98 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 86 times and threw an average of 7.8 air yards per attempt.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 1 against ATL: 67 of 67 snaps, 24 of 40 passes for 221 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 2 against NE: 67 of 70 snaps, 23 of 39 passes for 187 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 18 of 2025 against BAL: 31 of 47 passes for 294 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 20 yards, 17.8 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Deshaun Watson over Baker Mayfield.
• Start Deshaun Watson over Bo Nix.
• Start Bryce Young over Deshaun Watson.
• Start Baker Mayfield over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Bo Nix over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Aaron Rodgers over Cam Ward.