Start Hunter Henry or Deebo Samuel Sr.? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Hunter Henry over Deebo Samuel Sr. in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Hunter Henry at 10.3 points and Deebo Samuel Sr. at 10.2, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 10.3 fantasy points for Hunter Henry, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Hunter Henry at 41.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 28% chance to score a touchdown (11, 12 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 10.2 fantasy points for Deebo Samuel Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books give Deebo Samuel Sr. a 31% chance to score a touchdown (15 books).

That puts Hunter Henry 0.1 points ahead of Deebo Samuel Sr. on the books.

Injury status

Hunter Henry is not on the injury report.

Deebo Samuel Sr. is not on the injury report.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Hunter Henry over Adonai Mitchell.
• Start Hunter Henry over Davante Adams.
• Start Denzel Boston over Hunter Henry.
• Start Adonai Mitchell over Deebo Samuel Sr..
• Start Deebo Samuel Sr. over Davante Adams.
• Start George Kittle over Deebo Samuel Sr..