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Start Davante Adams or Deebo Samuel Sr.? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Deebo Samuel Sr. over Davante Adams

Books imply
10.2
fantasy pts
Books imply
9.9
fantasy pts
Snap share
59%
Through Week 2
Target share
28%
Through Week 2

Our Week 3 call

Start Deebo Samuel Sr. over Davante Adams in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Deebo Samuel Sr. at 10.2 points and Davante Adams at 9.9, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Deebo Samuel Sr.'s number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 10.2 fantasy points for Deebo Samuel Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books give Deebo Samuel Sr. a 31% chance to score a touchdown (15 books).

Player prop markets imply 9.9 fantasy points for Davante Adams, with 70 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books give Davante Adams a 43% chance to score a touchdown (15 books).

That puts Deebo Samuel Sr. 0.3 points ahead of Davante Adams on the books.

Injury status

Deebo Samuel Sr. is not on the injury report.

Davante Adams is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Davante Adams played 59 percent of LAR snaps, drew 28 percent of the targets, earned 46 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Davante Adams, Week 1 against SF: 33 of 61 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

Davante Adams, Week 2 against NYG: 40 of 62 snaps, 10 targets and 8 catches for 195 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Davante Adams played 14 games for LAR and scored 222.9 PPR points, 15.9 a game, finishing WR9.

He caught 60 of 114 targets for 789 yards and 14 touchdowns, with 31 red zone targets and 671 air yards.

He was on the field for 70 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Davante Adams, Week 15 of 2025 against DET: 33 of 72 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 71 yards, 11.1 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR6 · LAR · bye 11

2025 vs catches line 4-10

Overall rank
15
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

Ranked behind

WR55 · SF · bye 8

2025 vs rec yds line 8-8

Overall rank
133
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
13

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board118
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 4 and tier 13
  • Board size230 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board