Start DK Metcalf or Alec Pierce? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start DK Metcalf over Alec Pierce
Wrong: 8.0 to 10.1
- ATL D vs WR
- 22.4
- 8th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 96%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 27%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 8.0
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 4.3
- fantasy pts
- BAL D vs WR
- 25.0
- 12th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 59%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 21%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 10.1
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start DK Metcalf over Alec Pierce in Week 1.
Alec Pierce is priced by the books at 4.3 projected points and DK Metcalf is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take DK Metcalf at ADP 65 and Alec Pierce at 71.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for DK Metcalf in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 4.3 fantasy points for Alec Pierce, with 40 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
DK Metcalf and PIT host ATL.
ATL allowed 22.4 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 8th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 124 yards and no touchdowns against ATL.
Alec Pierce and IND host BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
BAL allowed 25.0 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 12th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 130 yards and no touchdowns against BAL.
By points allowed to the position, Alec Pierce has the softer matchup.
Injury status
DK Metcalf was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Alec Pierce was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, DK Metcalf played 15 games for PIT and scored 187.2 PPR points, 12.5 a game, finishing WR26.
He caught 59 of 99 targets for 850 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 436 air yards.
He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
DK Metcalf, Week 16 of 2025 against DET: 65 of 74 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 42 yards, 8.2 PPR points.
DK Metcalf, Week 15 of 2025 against MIA: 52 of 66 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 55 yards, 1 touchdown, 14.5 PPR points.
In 2025, Alec Pierce played 15 games for IND and scored 183.3 PPR points, 12.2 a game, finishing WR28.
He caught 47 of 84 targets for 1003 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 829 air yards.
He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Alec Pierce, Week 18 of 2025 against HOU: 7 targets and 4 catches for 132 yards, 2 touchdowns, 29.2 PPR points.
Alec Pierce, Week 17 of 2025 against JAX: 52 of 57 snaps, 5 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Alec Pierce, Week 16 of 2025 against SF: 58 of 60 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 86 yards, 2 touchdowns, 24.6 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
DK Metcalf scored 8.0 PPR points and Alec Pierce scored 10.1.
The call was wrong: Alec Pierce outscored DK Metcalf by 2.1.
DK Metcalf, Week 1 against ATL: 64 of 67 snaps, 10 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards, 8.0 PPR points.
DK Metcalf finished as the week's WR50 in PPR scoring.
Alec Pierce finished 5.9 points above the 4.3 the props implied.
Alec Pierce, Week 1 against BAL: 32 of 54 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 61 yards, 10.1 PPR points.
Alec Pierce finished as the week's WR34 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR33 · PIT · bye 9
2025 vs catches line 5-10
- Overall rank
- 100
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
WR44 · IND · bye 13
2025 vs anytime td line 4-11
- Overall rank
- 119
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board19
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 5 and tier 6
- Board size244 draftable players
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