Start Michael Pittman Jr. or Alec Pierce? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Michael Pittman Jr. over Alec Pierce
Wrong: 8.8 to 10.1
- ATL D vs WR
- 22.4
- 8th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Scored
- 8.8
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 4.3
- fantasy pts
- BAL D vs WR
- 25.0
- 12th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 59%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 21%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 10.1
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Michael Pittman Jr. over Alec Pierce in Week 1.
Alec Pierce is priced by the books at 4.3 projected points and Michael Pittman Jr. is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Michael Pittman Jr. at ADP 74 and Alec Pierce at 71.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 4.3 fantasy points for Alec Pierce, with 40 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Michael Pittman Jr. in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Alec Pierce and IND host BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
BAL allowed 25.0 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 12th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 130 yards and no touchdowns against BAL.
Michael Pittman Jr. and PIT host ATL.
ATL allowed 22.4 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 8th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 124 yards and no touchdowns against ATL.
By points allowed to the position, Alec Pierce has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Alec Pierce was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Michael Pittman Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Alec Pierce played 15 games for IND and scored 183.3 PPR points, 12.2 a game, finishing WR28.
He caught 47 of 84 targets for 1003 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 829 air yards.
He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Alec Pierce, Week 18 of 2025 against HOU: 7 targets and 4 catches for 132 yards, 2 touchdowns, 29.2 PPR points.
Alec Pierce, Week 17 of 2025 against JAX: 52 of 57 snaps, 5 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Alec Pierce, Week 16 of 2025 against SF: 58 of 60 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 86 yards, 2 touchdowns, 24.6 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Michael Pittman Jr. scored 8.8 PPR points and Alec Pierce scored 10.1.
The call was wrong: Alec Pierce outscored Michael Pittman Jr. by 1.3.
Michael Pittman Jr., Week 1 against ATL: 59 of 67 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 58 yards, 8.8 PPR points.
Michael Pittman Jr. finished as the week's WR44 in PPR scoring.
Alec Pierce finished 5.9 points above the 4.3 the props implied.
Alec Pierce, Week 1 against BAL: 32 of 54 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 61 yards, 10.1 PPR points.
Alec Pierce finished as the week's WR34 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR20 · PIT · bye 9
2025 vs rec yds line 5-12
- Overall rank
- 83
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
WR44 · IND · bye 13
2025 vs anytime td line 4-11
- Overall rank
- 119
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board36
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 5 and tier 6
- Board size244 draftable players
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