Start Michael Pittman Jr. or Alec Pierce? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Alec Pierce over Michael Pittman Jr.
Right: 10.1 to 8.8
- BAL D vs WR
- 25.0
- 12th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 59%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 21%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 10.1
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 3.9
- fantasy pts
- ATL D vs WR
- 22.4
- 8th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 88%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 8%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 8.8
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Alec Pierce over Michael Pittman Jr. in Week 1.
Michael Pittman Jr. is priced by the books at 3.9 projected points and Alec Pierce is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Alec Pierce at ADP 71 and Michael Pittman Jr. at 74.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for Alec Pierce in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 3.9 fantasy points for Michael Pittman Jr., with 40 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
Alec Pierce and IND host BAL.
BAL allowed 25.0 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 12th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 130 yards and no touchdowns against BAL.
Michael Pittman Jr. and PIT host ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
ATL allowed 22.4 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 8th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 124 yards and no touchdowns against ATL.
By points allowed to the position, Alec Pierce has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Alec Pierce was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Michael Pittman Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Alec Pierce played 15 games for IND and scored 183.3 PPR points, 12.2 a game, finishing WR28.
He caught 47 of 84 targets for 1003 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 829 air yards.
He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Alec Pierce, Week 18 of 2025 against HOU: 7 targets and 4 catches for 132 yards, 2 touchdowns, 29.2 PPR points.
Alec Pierce, Week 17 of 2025 against JAX: 52 of 57 snaps, 5 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Alec Pierce, Week 16 of 2025 against SF: 58 of 60 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 86 yards, 2 touchdowns, 24.6 PPR points.
In 2025, Michael Pittman Jr. played 17 games for IND and scored 202.4 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR18.
He caught 80 of 111 targets for 784 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 525 air yards.
He was on the field for 85 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Michael Pittman Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against HOU: 4 targets and 2 catches for 11 yards, 3.1 PPR points.
Michael Pittman Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against JAX: 49 of 57 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 16 yards, 3.6 PPR points.
Michael Pittman Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against SF: 56 of 60 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 32 yards, 7.2 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Alec Pierce scored 10.1 PPR points and Michael Pittman Jr. scored 8.8.
The call was right: Alec Pierce outscored Michael Pittman Jr. by 1.3.
Alec Pierce, Week 1 against BAL: 32 of 54 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 61 yards, 10.1 PPR points.
Alec Pierce finished as the week's WR34 in PPR scoring.
Michael Pittman Jr. finished 5.0 points above the 3.9 the props implied.
Michael Pittman Jr., Week 1 against ATL: 59 of 67 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 58 yards, 8.8 PPR points.
Michael Pittman Jr. finished as the week's WR44 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR20 · PIT · bye 9
2025 vs rec yds line 5-12
- Overall rank
- 83
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
WR44 · IND · bye 13
2025 vs anytime td line 4-11
- Overall rank
- 120
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board37
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 5 and tier 6
- Board size244 draftable players
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