Start Alec Pierce or Michael Wilson? Week 1

Our Week 1 call

Start Alec Pierce over Michael Wilson in Week 1.

Alec Pierce is priced by the books at 4.3 projected points. Michael Wilson has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Alec Pierce at ADP 71 and Michael Wilson at 76. Market coverage on Alec Pierce is 40 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 4.3 fantasy points for Alec Pierce, with 40 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Michael Wilson in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Alec Pierce and IND host BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BAL allowed 25.0 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 12th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 130 yards and no touchdowns against BAL.

Michael Wilson and ARI visit LAC.

LAC allowed 30.4 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 14th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 164 yards and no touchdowns against LAC.

By points allowed to the position, Michael Wilson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Alec Pierce was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Michael Wilson was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Alec Pierce played 15 games for IND and scored 183.3 PPR points, 12.2 a game, finishing WR28.

He caught 47 of 84 targets for 1003 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 829 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Alec Pierce, Week 18 of 2025 against HOU: 7 targets and 4 catches for 132 yards, 2 touchdowns, 29.2 PPR points.

Alec Pierce, Week 17 of 2025 against JAX: 52 of 57 snaps, 5 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Alec Pierce, Week 16 of 2025 against SF: 58 of 60 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 86 yards, 2 touchdowns, 24.6 PPR points.

In 2025, Michael Wilson played 17 games for ARI and scored 220.6 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing WR10.

He caught 78 of 126 targets for 1006 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 733 air yards.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Michael Wilson, Week 18 of 2025 against LAR: 8 targets and 5 catches for 99 yards, 1 touchdown, 20.9 PPR points.

Michael Wilson, Week 17 of 2025 against CIN: 49 of 57 snaps, 10 targets and 5 catches for 89 yards, 1 touchdown, 19.9 PPR points.

Michael Wilson, Week 16 of 2025 against ATL: 49 of 57 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 52 yards, 1 touchdown, 13.2 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Alec Pierce scored 10.1 PPR points and Michael Wilson scored 10.6.

The call was wrong: Michael Wilson outscored Alec Pierce by 0.5.

Alec Pierce finished 5.9 points above the 4.3 the props implied.

Alec Pierce, Week 1 against BAL: 32 of 54 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 61 yards, 10.1 PPR points.

Alec Pierce finished as the week's WR34 in PPR scoring.

Michael Wilson, Week 1 against LAC: 64 of 75 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 56 yards, 10.6 PPR points.

Michael Wilson finished as the week's WR31 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

• Start Alec Pierce over Brian Thomas Jr..
• Start Alec Pierce over Brian Thomas Jr..
• Start Carnell Tate over Alec Pierce.
• Start Michael Wilson over Brian Thomas Jr..
• Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Michael Wilson.
• Start Carnell Tate over Michael Wilson.