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Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Amon-Ra St. Brown? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba over Amon-Ra St. Brown

Books imply
20.7
fantasy pts
Snap share
77%
Through Week 2
Target share
44%
Through Week 2
Books imply
19.7
fantasy pts
Snap share
92%
Through Week 2
Target share
35%
Through Week 2

Our Week 3 call

Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba over Amon-Ra St. Brown in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 20.7 points and Amon-Ra St. Brown at 19.7, a gap of 1.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 20.7 fantasy points for Jaxon Smith-Njigba, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 90.5 receiving yards and 6.5 receptions, with a 50% chance to score a touchdown (16, 13 and 17 books).

Player prop markets imply 19.7 fantasy points for Amon-Ra St. Brown, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Amon-Ra St. Brown at 77.5 receiving yards and 6.5 receptions, with a 53% chance to score a touchdown (14, 14 and 17 books).

That puts Jaxon Smith-Njigba 1.0 points ahead of Amon-Ra St. Brown on the books.

Injury status

Jaxon Smith-Njigba is not on the injury report.

Amon-Ra St. Brown is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Jaxon Smith-Njigba played 77 percent of SEA snaps, drew 44 percent of the targets, earned 52 percent of the air yards and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Week 1 against NE: 45 of 50 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 122 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Week 2 against ARI: 47 of 70 snaps, 11 targets and 9 catches for 155 yards, 3 touchdowns.

Through Week 2, Amon-Ra St. Brown played 92 percent of DET snaps, drew 35 percent of the targets, earned 40 percent of the air yards and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 1 against NO: 69 of 77 snaps, 14 targets and 10 catches for 67 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 2 against BUF: 62 of 65 snaps, 13 targets and 9 catches for 142 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jaxon Smith-Njigba played 17 games for SEA and scored 359.9 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing WR2.

He caught 119 of 163 targets for 1793 yards and 10 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 1265 air yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Week 18 of 2025 against SF: 57 of 69 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 84 yards, 14.4 PPR points.

In 2025, Amon-Ra St. Brown played 17 games for DET and scored 324.0 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing WR3.

He caught 117 of 172 targets for 1401 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 34 red zone targets and 831 air yards.

He was on the field for 85 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 18 of 2025 against CHI: 15 targets and 11 catches for 139 yards, 24.9 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR1 · SEA · bye 11

2025 vs rec yds line 9-8

Overall rank
5
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
1

Ranked behind

WR2 · DET · bye 6

2025 vs rec yds line 9-8

Overall rank
6
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
2

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board1
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 1 and tier 2
  • Board size227 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board