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Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Chris Olave? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba over Chris Olave

Books imply
19.9
fantasy pts
Snap share
77%
Through Week 2
Target share
44%
Through Week 2
Sit

Chris Olave

WR · NO · vs LV

Books imply
18.1
fantasy pts
LV D vs WR
20.9
4th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
85%
Through Week 2
Target share
27%
Through Week 2

Our Week 3 call

Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba over Chris Olave in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 19.9 points and Chris Olave at 18.1, a gap of 1.7. Chris Olave's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 19.9 fantasy points for Jaxon Smith-Njigba, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 91.5 receiving yards and 6.5 receptions, with a 51% chance to score a touchdown (14, 12 and 14 books).

Player prop markets imply 18.2 fantasy points for Chris Olave, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Chris Olave at 78.5 receiving yards and 6.5 receptions, with a 40% chance to score a touchdown (14, 10 and 15 books).

That puts Jaxon Smith-Njigba 1.7 points ahead of Chris Olave on the books.

Week 3 matchups

Chris Olave and NO host LV on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

LV allowed 20.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 2 games, the 4th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 140 yards and no touchdowns a game against LV.

Injury status

Jaxon Smith-Njigba is not on the injury report.

Chris Olave is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Jaxon Smith-Njigba played 77 percent of SEA snaps, drew 44 percent of the targets, earned 52 percent of the air yards and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Week 1 against NE: 45 of 50 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 122 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Week 2 against ARI: 47 of 70 snaps, 11 targets and 9 catches for 155 yards, 3 touchdowns.

Through Week 2, Chris Olave played 85 percent of NO snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 49 percent of the air yards and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

Chris Olave, Week 1 against DET: 77 of 90 snaps, 13 targets and 10 catches for 182 yards.

Chris Olave, Week 2 against BAL: 57 of 68 snaps, 10 targets and 8 catches for 86 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jaxon Smith-Njigba played 17 games for SEA and scored 359.9 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing WR2.

He caught 119 of 163 targets for 1793 yards and 10 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 1265 air yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Week 18 of 2025 against SF: 57 of 69 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 84 yards, 14.4 PPR points.

In 2025, Chris Olave played 16 games for NO and scored 269.0 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing WR6.

He caught 100 of 156 targets for 1163 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 874 air yards.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Chris Olave, Week 17 of 2025 against TEN: 49 of 54 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 119 yards, 1 touchdown, 25.9 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR1 · SEA · bye 11

2025 vs rec yds line 9-8

Overall rank
4
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
1

Ranked behind

WR4 · NO · bye 8

2025 vs rec yds line 9-7

Overall rank
11
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
3

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board7
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 1 and tier 3
  • Board size230 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board