Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Ja'Marr Chase? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba over Ja'Marr Chase

- Books imply
- 20.8
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 77%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 44%
- Through Week 2

- Books imply
- 18.1
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 91%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 20%
- Through Week 2
Our Week 3 call
Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba over Ja'Marr Chase in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 20.8 points and Ja'Marr Chase at 18.1, a gap of 2.7. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 20.8 fantasy points for Jaxon Smith-Njigba, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 90.5 receiving yards and 6.5 receptions, with a 51% chance to score a touchdown (14, 12 and 14 books).
Player prop markets imply 18.1 fantasy points for Ja'Marr Chase, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Ja'Marr Chase at 74.5 receiving yards and 6.5 receptions, with a 42% chance to score a touchdown (15, 13 and 15 books).
That puts Jaxon Smith-Njigba 2.7 points ahead of Ja'Marr Chase on the books.
Injury status
Jaxon Smith-Njigba is not on the injury report.
Ja'Marr Chase is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 3
Through Week 2, Jaxon Smith-Njigba played 77 percent of SEA snaps, drew 44 percent of the targets, earned 52 percent of the air yards and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Week 1 against NE: 45 of 50 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 122 yards, 1 touchdown.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Week 2 against ARI: 47 of 70 snaps, 11 targets and 9 catches for 155 yards, 3 touchdowns.
Through Week 2, Ja'Marr Chase played 91 percent of CIN snaps, drew 20 percent of the targets, earned 29 percent of the air yards and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.
Ja'Marr Chase, Week 1 against TB: 60 of 64 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.
Ja'Marr Chase, Week 2 against HOU: 53 of 60 snaps, 9 targets and 7 catches for 75 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Jaxon Smith-Njigba played 17 games for SEA and scored 359.9 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing WR2.
He caught 119 of 163 targets for 1793 yards and 10 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 1265 air yards.
He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Week 18 of 2025 against SF: 57 of 69 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 84 yards, 14.4 PPR points.
In 2025, Ja'Marr Chase played 16 games for CIN and scored 313.6 PPR points, 19.6 a game, finishing WR4.
He caught 125 of 185 targets for 1412 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 21 red zone targets and 772 air yards.
He was on the field for 94 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Ja'Marr Chase, Week 18 of 2025 against CLE: 10 targets and 8 catches for 96 yards, 1 touchdown, 23.6 PPR points.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR1 · SEA · bye 11
2025 vs rec yds line 9-8
- Overall rank
- 4
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 1
Ranked behind
WR5 · CIN · bye 6
2025 vs rec yds line 9-7
- Overall rank
- 12
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 3
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board8
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 1 and tier 3
- Board size230 draftable players
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