Start Ashton Jeanty or Derrick Henry? Week 2
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Derrick Henry over Ashton Jeanty

- Books imply
- 24.1
- fantasy pts
- NO D vs RB
- 36.4
- 5th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 54%
- Through Week 1
- Target share
- 4%
- Through Week 1

- Books imply
- 18.9
- fantasy pts
- LAC D vs RB
- 22.0
- 15th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 74%
- Through Week 1
- Target share
- 21%
- Through Week 1
Our Week 2 call
Start Derrick Henry over Ashton Jeanty in Week 2.
De-vigged player props project Derrick Henry at 24.1 points and Ashton Jeanty at 18.9, a gap of 5.1. Derrick Henry's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Derrick Henry at ADP 15 and Ashton Jeanty at 21. Market coverage on Derrick Henry is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 24.1 fantasy points for Derrick Henry, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
Player prop markets imply 18.9 fantasy points for Ashton Jeanty, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
That puts Derrick Henry 5.1 points ahead of Ashton Jeanty on the books.
Week 2 matchups
Derrick Henry and BAL host NO on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
NO allowed 36.4 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 5th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 163 yards and 2 touchdowns against NO and caught passes for 41 more yards.
Ashton Jeanty and LV visit LAC on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.
LAC allowed 22.0 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 15th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 102 yards and a touchdown against LAC and caught passes for 18 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Derrick Henry has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.
Ashton Jeanty is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 2
Through Week 1, Derrick Henry played 54 percent of BAL snaps, took 71 percent of the carries, drew 4 percent of the targets and had 55 percent of the red zone chances.
Derrick Henry, Week 1 against IND: 37 of 68 snaps, 24 carries for 144 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns.
Through Week 1, Ashton Jeanty played 74 percent of LV snaps, took 68 percent of the carries, drew 21 percent of the targets and had 58 percent of the red zone chances.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 1 against MIA: 50 of 68 snaps, 23 carries for 102 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 45 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.
He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.
He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Derrick Henry, Week 18 of 2025 against PIT: 20 carries for 126 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 12.6 PPR points.
Derrick Henry, Week 17 of 2025 against GB: 48 of 76 snaps, 36 carries for 216 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 4 touchdowns, 45.6 PPR points.
In 2025, Ashton Jeanty played 17 games for LV and scored 245.1 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing RB11.
He ran 266 times for 975 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 55 of 73 targets for 346 yards.
He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 18 of 2025 against KC: 26 carries for 87 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 7 yards, 12.4 PPR points.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 17 of 2025 against NYG: 48 of 59 snaps, 16 carries for 60 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 13 yards, 9.3 PPR points.
Their other Week 2 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB3 · LV · bye 13
2025 vs rec yds line 6-11
- Overall rank
- 4
- Draft pick
- ADP 4
- Tier
- 2
Ranked behind
RB19 · BAL · bye 13
2025 vs rush yds line 6-11
- Overall rank
- 46
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board42
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 2 and tier 4
- Board size244 draftable players
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