Start Bijan Robinson or Derrick Henry? Week 2
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Bijan Robinson over Derrick Henry

- Books imply
- 23.5
- fantasy pts
- CAR D vs RB
- 52.8
- most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 77%
- Through Week 1
- Target share
- 53%
- Through Week 1

- Books imply
- 24.5
- fantasy pts
- NO D vs RB
- 36.4
- 5th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 54%
- Through Week 1
- Target share
- 4%
- Through Week 1
Our Week 2 call
Start Bijan Robinson over Derrick Henry in Week 2.
De-vigged player props project Bijan Robinson at 23.5 points and Derrick Henry at 24.5, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Derrick Henry's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Bijan Robinson at ADP 2 and Derrick Henry at 7.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 23.5 fantasy points for Bijan Robinson, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
Player prop markets imply 24.5 fantasy points for Derrick Henry, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
That puts Derrick Henry 1.1 points ahead of Bijan Robinson on the books.
Week 2 matchups
Bijan Robinson and ATL host CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
CAR allowed 52.8 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the most in the league.
Running backs ran for 224 yards and 4 touchdowns against CAR and caught passes for 34 more yards.
Derrick Henry and BAL host NO on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
NO allowed 36.4 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 5th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 163 yards and 2 touchdowns against NO and caught passes for 41 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Bijan Robinson has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Bijan Robinson is not on the injury report.
Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 2
Through Week 1, Bijan Robinson played 77 percent of ATL snaps, took 68 percent of the carries and drew 53 percent of the targets.
Bijan Robinson, Week 1 against PIT: 46 of 60 snaps, 21 carries for 83 yards, 10 targets and 8 catches for 90 yards, 1 touchdown.
Through Week 1, Derrick Henry played 54 percent of BAL snaps, took 71 percent of the carries, drew 4 percent of the targets and had 55 percent of the red zone chances.
Derrick Henry, Week 1 against IND: 37 of 68 snaps, 24 carries for 144 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Bijan Robinson played 17 games for ATL and scored 370.8 PPR points, 21.8 a game, finishing RB2.
He ran 287 times for 1478 yards and 7 touchdowns, and caught 79 of 103 targets for 820 yards.
He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Bijan Robinson, Week 18 of 2025 against NO: 15 carries for 33 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 7.3 PPR points.
Bijan Robinson, Week 17 of 2025 against LAR: 42 of 53 snaps, 22 carries for 195 yards, 8 targets and 5 catches for 34 yards, 2 touchdowns, 39.9 PPR points.
In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.
He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.
He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Derrick Henry, Week 18 of 2025 against PIT: 20 carries for 126 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 12.6 PPR points.
Derrick Henry, Week 17 of 2025 against GB: 48 of 76 snaps, 36 carries for 216 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 4 touchdowns, 45.6 PPR points.
Their other Week 2 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB1 · ATL · bye 11
2025 vs rush yds line 5-12
- Overall rank
- 1
- Draft pick
- ADP 1
- Tier
- 1
Ranked behind
RB19 · BAL · bye 13
2025 vs rush yds line 6-11
- Overall rank
- 46
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board45
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 1 and tier 4
- Board size244 draftable players
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