Start Baker Mayfield or Justin Herbert? Week 2

Our Week 2 call

Start Baker Mayfield over Justin Herbert in Week 2.

De-vigged player props project Baker Mayfield at 18.0 points and Justin Herbert at 16.6, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Baker Mayfield at ADP 125 and Justin Herbert at 109.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 16.6 fantasy points for Justin Herbert, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 18.0 fantasy points for Baker Mayfield, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

That puts Baker Mayfield 1.4 points ahead of Justin Herbert on the books.

Week 2 matchups

Justin Herbert and LAC host LV on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

LV allowed 17.7 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 13th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 220 yards and no touchdowns against LV, with an interception.

Baker Mayfield and TB host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 25.8 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 5th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 245 yards and 4 touchdowns against CLE, with no interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Baker Mayfield has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Justin Herbert is not on the injury report.

Baker Mayfield is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Justin Herbert played 100 percent of LAC snaps, dropped back 35 times and threw an average of 10.1 air yards per attempt.

Justin Herbert, Week 1 against ARI: 55 of 55 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 209 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 29 yards.

Through Week 1, Baker Mayfield played 100 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 36 times and threw an average of 5.1 air yards per attempt.

Baker Mayfield, Week 1 against CIN: 57 of 57 snaps, 23 of 28 passes for 216 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 31 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Justin Herbert played 16 games for LAC and scored 299.9 PPR points, 18.7 a game, finishing QB10.

He completed 340 of 512 passes for 3727 yards, 26 touchdowns and 13 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 498 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Justin Herbert, Week 17 of 2025 against HOU: 63 of 63 snaps, 21 of 32 passes for 236 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 6 carries for 37 yards, 16.1 PPR points.

Justin Herbert, Week 16 of 2025 against DAL: 64 of 64 snaps, 23 of 29 passes for 300 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 42 yards, 30.2 PPR points.

In 2025, Baker Mayfield played 17 games for TB and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He completed 343 of 543 passes for 3693 yards, 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 55 times for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Baker Mayfield, Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 67 of 67 snaps, 16 of 22 passes for 203 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 31 yards, 14.2 PPR points.

Baker Mayfield, Week 17 of 2025 against MIA: 67 of 67 snaps, 33 of 44 passes for 346 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 16 yards, 19.4 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

• Start Bo Nix over Justin Herbert.
• Start Brock Purdy over Justin Herbert.
• Start Jared Goff over Justin Herbert.
• Start Bo Nix over Baker Mayfield.
• Start Jaxson Dart over Baker Mayfield.
• Start Baker Mayfield over Jordan Love.