Start Bo Nix or Justin Herbert? Week 2
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Bo Nix over Justin Herbert

- Books imply
- 18.5
- fantasy pts
- JAX D vs QB
- 15.0
- 12th fewest to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 100%
- Through Week 1

- Books imply
- 16.6
- fantasy pts
- LV D vs QB
- 17.7
- 13th most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 100%
- Through Week 1
Our Week 2 call
Start Bo Nix over Justin Herbert in Week 2.
De-vigged player props project Bo Nix at 18.5 points and Justin Herbert at 16.6, a gap of 1.9. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Bo Nix at ADP 108 and Justin Herbert at 109.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 18.5 fantasy points for Bo Nix, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
Player prop markets imply 16.6 fantasy points for Justin Herbert, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
That puts Bo Nix 1.9 points ahead of Justin Herbert on the books.
Week 2 matchups
Bo Nix and DEN host JAX on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.
JAX allowed 15.0 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 12th fewest in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 205 yards and a touchdown against JAX, with an interception.
Justin Herbert and LAC host LV on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.
LV allowed 17.7 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 13th most in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 220 yards and no touchdowns against LV, with an interception.
By points allowed to the position, Justin Herbert has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Bo Nix is not on the injury report.
Justin Herbert is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 2
Through Week 1, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 33 times and threw an average of 3.3 air yards per attempt.
Bo Nix, Week 1 against KC: 51 of 51 snaps, 17 of 28 passes for 131 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 3 yards.
Through Week 1, Justin Herbert played 100 percent of LAC snaps, dropped back 35 times and threw an average of 10.1 air yards per attempt.
Justin Herbert, Week 1 against ARI: 55 of 55 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 209 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 29 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.
He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Bo Nix, Week 18 of 2025 against LAC: 14 of 23 passes for 141 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 49 yards, 10.5 PPR points.
Bo Nix, Week 17 of 2025 against KC: 72 of 72 snaps, 26 of 38 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 9 carries for 42 yards, 20.5 PPR points.
In 2025, Justin Herbert played 16 games for LAC and scored 299.9 PPR points, 18.7 a game, finishing QB10.
He completed 340 of 512 passes for 3727 yards, 26 touchdowns and 13 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 498 yards and 2 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Justin Herbert, Week 17 of 2025 against HOU: 63 of 63 snaps, 21 of 32 passes for 236 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 6 carries for 37 yards, 16.1 PPR points.
Justin Herbert, Week 16 of 2025 against DAL: 64 of 64 snaps, 23 of 29 passes for 300 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 42 yards, 30.2 PPR points.
Their other Week 2 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
QB13 · DEN · bye 10
2025 vs pass yds line 8-9
- Overall rank
- 32
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 1
Ranked behind
QB26 · LAC · bye 7
2025 vs pass yds line 6-10
- Overall rank
- 74
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board42
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 1 and tier 4
- Board size244 draftable players
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