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Start Justin Herbert or Jared Goff? Week 2

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Jared Goff over Justin Herbert

Start

Jared Goff

QB · DET · at BUF

Books imply
17.1
fantasy pts
BUF D vs QB
16.5
16th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 1
Sit

Justin Herbert

QB · LAC · vs LV

Books imply
16.6
fantasy pts
LV D vs QB
17.7
13th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 1

Our Week 2 call

Start Jared Goff over Justin Herbert in Week 2.

De-vigged player props project Jared Goff at 17.1 points and Justin Herbert at 16.6, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Jared Goff at ADP 101 and Justin Herbert at 109.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 17.1 fantasy points for Jared Goff, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 16.6 fantasy points for Justin Herbert, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

That puts Jared Goff 0.4 points ahead of Justin Herbert on the books.

Week 2 matchups

Jared Goff and DET visit BUF on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

BUF allowed 16.5 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 16th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 274 yards and 2 touchdowns against BUF, with no interceptions.

Justin Herbert and LAC host LV on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

LV allowed 17.7 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 13th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 220 yards and no touchdowns against LV, with an interception.

By points allowed to the position, Justin Herbert has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jared Goff is not on the injury report.

Justin Herbert is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Jared Goff played 100 percent of DET snaps, dropped back 41 times and threw an average of 5.3 air yards per attempt.

Jared Goff, Week 1 against NO: 77 of 77 snaps, 26 of 39 passes for 206 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 2 yards.

Through Week 1, Justin Herbert played 100 percent of LAC snaps, dropped back 35 times and threw an average of 10.1 air yards per attempt.

Justin Herbert, Week 1 against ARI: 55 of 55 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 209 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 29 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jared Goff played 17 games for DET and scored 305.1 PPR points, 17.9 a game, finishing QB9.

He completed 393 of 578 passes for 4564 yards, 34 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 19 times for 45 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jared Goff, Week 18 of 2025 against CHI: 27 of 42 passes for 331 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 16.2 PPR points.

Jared Goff, Week 17 of 2025 against MIN: 64 of 64 snaps, 18 of 29 passes for 197 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 2 yards, 4.1 PPR points.

In 2025, Justin Herbert played 16 games for LAC and scored 299.9 PPR points, 18.7 a game, finishing QB10.

He completed 340 of 512 passes for 3727 yards, 26 touchdowns and 13 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 498 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Justin Herbert, Week 17 of 2025 against HOU: 63 of 63 snaps, 21 of 32 passes for 236 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 6 carries for 37 yards, 16.1 PPR points.

Justin Herbert, Week 16 of 2025 against DAL: 64 of 64 snaps, 23 of 29 passes for 300 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 42 yards, 30.2 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB26 · LAC · bye 7

2025 vs pass yds line 6-10

Overall rank
74
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

Ranked behind

QB32 · DET · bye 6

2025 vs pass yds line 10-7

Overall rank
199
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
8

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board125
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 4 and tier 8
  • Board size244 draftable players

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