Start Baker Mayfield or Kirk Cousins? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Baker Mayfield over Kirk Cousins in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Baker Mayfield at 16.8 points and Kirk Cousins at 15.9, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 16.8 fantasy points for Baker Mayfield, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Baker Mayfield at 216.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 16.5 rushing yards, with a 14% chance to score a touchdown (13, 16, 14 and 14 books).

Player prop markets imply 16.0 fantasy points for Kirk Cousins, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Kirk Cousins at 212.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 5% chance to score a touchdown (16, 16 and 15 books).

That puts Baker Mayfield 0.9 points ahead of Kirk Cousins on the books.

Injury status

Baker Mayfield is not on the injury report.

Kirk Cousins is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Baker Mayfield played 100 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 76 times and threw an average of 9.1 air yards per attempt.

Baker Mayfield, Week 1 against CIN: 57 of 57 snaps, 23 of 28 passes for 216 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 31 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 2 against CLE: 65 of 65 snaps, 21 of 34 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 29 yards.

Through Week 2, Kirk Cousins played 100 percent of LV snaps, dropped back 63 times and threw an average of 8.6 air yards per attempt.

Kirk Cousins, Week 1 against MIA: 68 of 68 snaps, 21 of 30 passes for 160 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 0 yards.

Kirk Cousins, Week 2 against LAC: 63 of 63 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 253 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Baker Mayfield played 17 games for TB and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He completed 343 of 543 passes for 3693 yards, 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 55 times for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Baker Mayfield, Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 67 of 67 snaps, 16 of 22 passes for 203 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 31 yards, 14.2 PPR points.

In 2025, Kirk Cousins played 10 games for ATL and scored 108.5 PPR points, 10.9 a game, finishing QB35.

He completed 166 of 269 passes for 1721 yards, 10 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran 14 times for 7 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 46 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Kirk Cousins, Week 18 of 2025 against NO: 18 of 32 passes for 180 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 3 carries for 0 yards, 10.2 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Baker Mayfield over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Bo Nix over Baker Mayfield.
• Start Baker Mayfield over Cam Ward.
• Start Kirk Cousins over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Bo Nix over Kirk Cousins.
• Start Kirk Cousins over Cam Ward.