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Start Baker Mayfield or Kyler Murray? Week 2

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Baker Mayfield over Kyler Murray

Start

Baker Mayfield

QB · TB · vs CLE

Books imply
18.0
fantasy pts
CLE D vs QB
25.8
5th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 1
Sit

Kyler Murray

QB · MIN · at CHI · Questionable

CHI D vs QB
34.8
3rd most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
17%
Through Week 1

Our Week 2 call

Start Baker Mayfield over Kyler Murray in Week 2.

Baker Mayfield is estimated at 18.0 projected points, scaled up from the stats the books have posted so far. Kyler Murray has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and his injury status only. Drafters take Baker Mayfield at ADP 125 and Kyler Murray at 126.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 18.0 fantasy points for Baker Mayfield, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Kyler Murray in Week 2.

Week 2 matchups

Baker Mayfield and TB host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 25.8 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 5th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 245 yards and 4 touchdowns against CLE, with no interceptions.

Kyler Murray and MIN visit CHI.

CHI allowed 34.8 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 3rd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 361 yards and 3 touchdowns against CHI, with an interception.

By points allowed to the position, Kyler Murray has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Baker Mayfield is not on the injury report.

Kyler Murray is listed as questionable with a concussion injury.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Baker Mayfield played 100 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 36 times and threw an average of 5.1 air yards per attempt.

Baker Mayfield, Week 1 against CIN: 57 of 57 snaps, 23 of 28 passes for 216 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 31 yards.

Through Week 1, Kyler Murray played 17 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 7 times and threw an average of 7.0 air yards per attempt.

Kyler Murray, Week 1 against GB: 11 of 65 snaps, 3 of 5 passes for 18 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 9 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Baker Mayfield played 17 games for TB and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He completed 343 of 543 passes for 3693 yards, 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 55 times for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Baker Mayfield, Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 67 of 67 snaps, 16 of 22 passes for 203 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 31 yards, 14.2 PPR points.

Baker Mayfield, Week 17 of 2025 against MIA: 67 of 67 snaps, 33 of 44 passes for 346 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 16 yards, 19.4 PPR points.

In 2025, Kyler Murray played 5 games for ARI and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He completed 110 of 161 passes for 962 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 2 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB22 · TB · bye 10

2025 vs pass yds line 8-9

Overall rank
59
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
3

Ranked behind

QB28 · MIN · bye 6

2025 vs pass yds line 0-5

Overall rank
185
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board126
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 3 and tier 6
  • Board size244 draftable players

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