Start Patrick Mahomes or Kyler Murray? Week 2
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Patrick Mahomes over Kyler Murray
- Books imply
- 16.0
- fantasy pts
- IND D vs QB
- 25.0
- 7th most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 100%
- Through Week 1
- CHI D vs QB
- 34.8
- 3rd most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 17%
- Through Week 1
Our Week 2 call
Start Patrick Mahomes over Kyler Murray in Week 2.
Patrick Mahomes is estimated at 16.0 projected points, scaled up from the stats the books have posted so far. Kyler Murray has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and his injury status only. Drafters take Patrick Mahomes at ADP 111 and Kyler Murray at 126.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 16.0 fantasy points for Patrick Mahomes, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Kyler Murray in Week 2.
Week 2 matchups
Patrick Mahomes and KC host IND on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.
IND allowed 25.0 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 7th most in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 324 yards and a touchdown against IND, with no interceptions.
Kyler Murray and MIN visit CHI.
CHI allowed 34.8 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 3rd most in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 361 yards and 3 touchdowns against CHI, with an interception.
By points allowed to the position, Kyler Murray has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Patrick Mahomes is not on the injury report.
Kyler Murray is listed as questionable with a concussion injury.
Usage before Week 2
Through Week 1, Patrick Mahomes played 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 33 times and threw an average of 4.9 air yards per attempt.
Patrick Mahomes, Week 1 against DEN: 69 of 69 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 184 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 27 yards.
Through Week 1, Kyler Murray played 17 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 7 times and threw an average of 7.0 air yards per attempt.
Kyler Murray, Week 1 against GB: 11 of 65 snaps, 3 of 5 passes for 18 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 9 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Patrick Mahomes played 14 games for KC and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.
He completed 315 of 502 passes for 3587 yards, 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 64 times for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Patrick Mahomes, Week 15 of 2025 against LAC: 56 of 61 snaps, 16 of 28 passes for 189 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 15 yards, 14.1 PPR points.
In 2025, Kyler Murray played 5 games for ARI and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.
He completed 110 of 161 passes for 962 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.
He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 2 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
QB20 · KC · bye 5
2025 vs pass yds line 6-8
- Overall rank
- 45
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 1
Ranked behind
QB28 · MIN · bye 6
2025 vs pass yds line 0-5
- Overall rank
- 185
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board140
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 1 and tier 6
- Board size244 draftable players
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