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Should I start Baker Mayfield or Kyler Murray in Week 9?

Updated Nov 3, 6:16 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Kyler Murray: Listed Questionable (Hamstring) (Sleeper injury feed)

Week 9 verdict

Start

QB · MIN · vs BUF · Questionable

Market projects
17.4
recent weeks avg
BUF D vs QB
19.0
11th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
20 of 100 at QB
Snap share
86%
Through Week 8
Sit

QB · TB · at CHI

Market projects
16.0
recent weeks avg
CHI D vs QB
19.7
8th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
11 of 100 at QB
Snap share
97%
Through Week 8
Start Murray or Mayfield? The full Week 9 breakdown

Start Kyler Murray: 100 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Baker Mayfield's 95 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Kyler Murray?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Kyler Murray projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Baker Mayfield 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Kyler Murray over Baker Mayfield. Kyler Murray is listed questionable.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

QB9 · TB · bye 10

2026 vs pass yds line 1-4

Market-based projection
16.0 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
14

QB22 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs pass yds line 2-4

Market-based projection
17.6 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
145

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The gap

  • Board size297 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Baker Mayfield, and the board ranks him 14th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 20.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kyler Murray, and the board ranks him 145th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 18.

The market-based projections

No season market is posted for Baker Mayfield, so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

The market-based projection for Kyler Murray is 1.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Baker Mayfield has been on the field for 96 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 134 times and thrown 8.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 23 of 134 dropbacks and scrambled 10 times.

In Week 3 against MIN he completed 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 6 yards.

In Week 7 against CAR he completed 7 of 11 passes for 64 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

In Week 8 against ATL he completed 0 of 3 passes for 0 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 15 yards.

Through Week 8, Kyler Murray has been on the field for 84 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 184 times and thrown 7.7 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 27 of 184 dropbacks and scrambled 16 times.

In Week 5 against NO he completed 24 of 29 passes for 229 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 7 times for 54 yards.

In Week 7 against IND he completed 14 of 24 passes for 150 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 41 yards.

In Week 8 against DET he completed 17 of 29 passes for 210 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 36 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Baker Mayfield played 17 games and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He threw for 3693 yards on 543 attempts with 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 31.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Kyler Murray played 5 games and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He threw for 962 yards on 161 attempts with 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 32.2 attempts a game at 6.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Baker Mayfield was available for 12 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Baker Mayfield scored 16.6 PPR points a game and Kyler Murray 16.2, 0.5 a game between them.

Baker Mayfield finished QB12 that year and Kyler Murray QB38.

Baker Mayfield had 382 more pass attempts than Kyler Murray, 543 to 161.

Baker Mayfield had 2731 more passing yards than Kyler Murray, 3693 to 962.

This season Baker Mayfield holds the bigger snap share, 96 percent against 84 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Baker Mayfield is off in Week 10 and Kyler Murray in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

Kyler Murray is listed as questionable on the injury report.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Kyler Murray?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Kyler Murray projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Baker Mayfield 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Kyler Murray over Baker Mayfield. Kyler Murray is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Kyler Murray for Baker Mayfield?

    No. Keep Kyler Murray: he projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Baker Mayfield 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Kyler Murray over Baker Mayfield. Kyler Murray is listed questionable.

Should I drop Kyler Murray?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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