Start Patrick Mahomes or Baker Mayfield? Week 2

Our Week 2 call

Start Baker Mayfield over Patrick Mahomes in Week 2.

De-vigged player props project Baker Mayfield at 18.0 points and Patrick Mahomes at 16.0, a gap of 2.1. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Baker Mayfield at ADP 125 and Patrick Mahomes at 111.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 16.0 fantasy points for Patrick Mahomes, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 18.0 fantasy points for Baker Mayfield, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

That puts Baker Mayfield 2.1 points ahead of Patrick Mahomes on the books.

Week 2 matchups

Patrick Mahomes and KC host IND on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

IND allowed 25.0 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 7th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 324 yards and a touchdown against IND, with no interceptions.

Baker Mayfield and TB host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 25.8 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 5th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 245 yards and 4 touchdowns against CLE, with no interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Baker Mayfield has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Patrick Mahomes is not on the injury report.

Baker Mayfield is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Patrick Mahomes played 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 33 times and threw an average of 4.9 air yards per attempt.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 1 against DEN: 69 of 69 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 184 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 27 yards.

Through Week 1, Baker Mayfield played 100 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 36 times and threw an average of 5.1 air yards per attempt.

Baker Mayfield, Week 1 against CIN: 57 of 57 snaps, 23 of 28 passes for 216 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 31 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Patrick Mahomes played 14 games for KC and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.

He completed 315 of 502 passes for 3587 yards, 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 64 times for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 15 of 2025 against LAC: 56 of 61 snaps, 16 of 28 passes for 189 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 15 yards, 14.1 PPR points.

In 2025, Baker Mayfield played 17 games for TB and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He completed 343 of 543 passes for 3693 yards, 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 55 times for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Baker Mayfield, Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 67 of 67 snaps, 16 of 22 passes for 203 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 31 yards, 14.2 PPR points.

Baker Mayfield, Week 17 of 2025 against MIA: 67 of 67 snaps, 33 of 44 passes for 346 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 16 yards, 19.4 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

• Start Bo Nix over Patrick Mahomes.
• Start Jared Goff over Patrick Mahomes.
• Start Jaxson Dart over Patrick Mahomes.
• Start Bo Nix over Baker Mayfield.
• Start Jaxson Dart over Baker Mayfield.
• Start Baker Mayfield over Jordan Love.