Start Patrick Mahomes or Jared Goff? Week 2

Our Week 2 call

Start Jared Goff over Patrick Mahomes in Week 2.

De-vigged player props project Jared Goff at 17.1 points and Patrick Mahomes at 16.0, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Jared Goff at ADP 101 and Patrick Mahomes at 111.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 17.1 fantasy points for Jared Goff, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 16.0 fantasy points for Patrick Mahomes, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

That puts Jared Goff 1.1 points ahead of Patrick Mahomes on the books.

Week 2 matchups

Jared Goff and DET visit BUF on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

BUF allowed 16.5 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 16th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 274 yards and 2 touchdowns against BUF, with no interceptions.

Patrick Mahomes and KC host IND on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

IND allowed 25.0 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 7th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 324 yards and a touchdown against IND, with no interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Patrick Mahomes has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jared Goff is not on the injury report.

Patrick Mahomes is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Jared Goff played 100 percent of DET snaps, dropped back 41 times and threw an average of 5.3 air yards per attempt.

Jared Goff, Week 1 against NO: 77 of 77 snaps, 26 of 39 passes for 206 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 2 yards.

Through Week 1, Patrick Mahomes played 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 33 times and threw an average of 4.9 air yards per attempt.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 1 against DEN: 69 of 69 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 184 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 27 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jared Goff played 17 games for DET and scored 305.1 PPR points, 17.9 a game, finishing QB9.

He completed 393 of 578 passes for 4564 yards, 34 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 19 times for 45 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jared Goff, Week 18 of 2025 against CHI: 27 of 42 passes for 331 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 16.2 PPR points.

Jared Goff, Week 17 of 2025 against MIN: 64 of 64 snaps, 18 of 29 passes for 197 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 2 yards, 4.1 PPR points.

In 2025, Patrick Mahomes played 14 games for KC and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.

He completed 315 of 502 passes for 3587 yards, 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 64 times for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 15 of 2025 against LAC: 56 of 61 snaps, 16 of 28 passes for 189 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 15 yards, 14.1 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

• Start Bo Nix over Jared Goff.
• Start Brock Purdy over Jared Goff.
• Start Caleb Williams over Jared Goff.
• Start Baker Mayfield over Patrick Mahomes.
• Start Bo Nix over Patrick Mahomes.
• Start Jaxson Dart over Patrick Mahomes.