Bijan Robinson or Chase Brown: who to draft first

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Bijan Robinson at 23.4 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 books. That is the 1st highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

The player markets price Chase Brown at 14.7 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 18 books. That is the 43rd highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

Where the draft room has them

Bijan Robinson goes at ADP 2, an average pick of 1.9, and the board has him RB1 in tier 1.

His earliest recorded pick is 1 and his latest 3, a standard deviation of 0.9 picks.

He appears in 446 recorded drafts across the formats the consensus sample covers.

Over 14 days his average pick has not moved a full pick either way.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 3.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Chase Brown: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 24th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 5; 2QB: ADP 30.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Bijan Robinson has been on the field for 77 percent of ATL snaps, taken 68 percent of the carries and drawn 53 percent of the targets.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 6 third down targets and seen 1 of its 2 two minute targets.

His 10 targets have come 3.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 1 against PIT he carried 21 times for 83 yards, caught 8 of 10 targets for 90 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 1, Chase Brown has been on the field for 72 percent of CIN snaps, taken 62 percent of the carries, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 40 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 8 third down targets, had 3 of its 6 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 7 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have come 2.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 1 against TB he carried 16 times for 56 yards, caught 5 of 6 targets for 22 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Bijan Robinson played 17 games and scored 370.8 PPR points, 21.8 a game, finishing RB2.

He carried 287 times for 1478 yards and 7 touchdowns, and caught 79 of 103 targets for 820 more yards.

That came to 16.9 carries a game at 5.1 yards a carry and 4.6 catches a game.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Chase Brown played 17 games and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.

He carried 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 more yards.

That came to 13.6 carries a game at 4.4 yards a carry and 4.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Bijan Robinson scored 21.8 PPR points a game and Chase Brown 16.6, 5.2 a game between them.

Bijan Robinson finished RB2 that year and Chase Brown RB7.

Bijan Robinson had 55 more carries than Chase Brown, 287 to 232.

Bijan Robinson had 10 more catches than Chase Brown, 79 to 69.

This season Bijan Robinson holds the bigger snap share, 77 percent against 72 percent.

This season Bijan Robinson holds the bigger share of the carries, 68 percent against 62 percent.

Byes and availability

Bijan Robinson is off in Week 11 and Chase Brown in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

8.7 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.