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Should I start Bijan Robinson or Chase Brown in Week 9?

Updated Nov 3, 9:56 AM ET.

Week 9 verdict

Start

RB · ATL · vs CIN

Market projects
25.6
fantasy pts
CIN D vs RB
19.4
7th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
High
87 of 100 at RB
Snap share
72%
Through Week 8
Target share
15%
Through Week 8
Sit

RB · CIN · at ATL

Market projects
16.3
fantasy pts
ATL D vs RB
25.9
5th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
High
97 of 100 at RB
Snap share
71%
Through Week 8
Target share
16%
Through Week 8
Start Robinson or Brown? The full Week 9 breakdown

Start Bijan Robinson: 80 percent of the snaps and 73 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Chase Brown's 68 percent of the snaps and 53 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Chase Brown for Bijan Robinson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Bijan Robinson projects 176 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (22.0 a game over 8 games), Chase Brown 144 (16.0 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Bijan Robinson over Chase Brown, 25.6 to 16.3 projected PPR points.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

RB1 · ATL · bye 11

2026 vs carries line 3-5

Overall rank
1

RB3 · CIN · bye 6

2026 vs carries line 2-5

Market-based projection
16.2 pts a game

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The gap

  • Board size300 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Bijan Robinson, and the board ranks him 1st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Chase Brown, and the board ranks him 11th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 5; 2QB: ADP 19.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Bijan Robinson is 25.2 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 8 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Chase Brown's market-based projection is 16.2 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 9th highest figure of the 183 players with a market-based projection.

Bijan Robinson's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Bijan Robinson has been on the field for 72 percent of ATL snaps, taken 66 percent of the carries, drawn 15 percent of the targets and had 43 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 7 of the offence's 62 third down targets, had 7 of its 15 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 33 targets have come 1.3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against CHI he carried 9 times for 61 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for -8 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against SF he carried 20 times for 63 yards, caught 5 of 5 targets for 45 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against TB he carried 19 times for 76 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Chase Brown has been on the field for 71 percent of CIN snaps, taken 63 percent of the carries, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 23 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 4 of its 17 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 43 two minute targets.

His 42 targets have come 0.7 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 5 against MIA he carried 13 times for 39 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 21 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against BAL he carried 11 times for 39 yards, caught 4 of 5 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against TEN he carried 12 times for 55 yards, caught 8 of 9 targets for 46 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Bijan Robinson played 17 games and scored 370.8 PPR points, 21.8 a game, finishing RB2.

He carried 287 times for 1478 yards and 7 touchdowns, and caught 79 of 103 targets for 820 more yards.

That came to 16.9 carries a game at 5.1 yards a carry and 4.6 catches a game.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Chase Brown played 17 games and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.

He carried 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 more yards.

That came to 13.6 carries a game at 4.4 yards a carry and 4.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Bijan Robinson scored 21.8 PPR points a game and Chase Brown 16.6, 5.2 a game between them.

Bijan Robinson finished RB2 that year and Chase Brown RB7.

Bijan Robinson had 55 more carries than Chase Brown, 287 to 232.

Bijan Robinson had 10 more catches than Chase Brown, 79 to 69.

This season Bijan Robinson holds the bigger snap share, 72 percent against 71 percent.

This season Bijan Robinson holds the bigger share of the carries, 66 percent against 63 percent.

Byes and availability

Bijan Robinson is off in Week 11 and Chase Brown in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Bijan Robinson has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Chase Brown for Bijan Robinson?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Bijan Robinson projects 176 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (22.0 a game over 8 games), Chase Brown 144 (16.0 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Bijan Robinson over Chase Brown, 25.6 to 16.3 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop Bijan Robinson for Chase Brown?

    No. Keep Bijan Robinson: he projects 176 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (22.0 a game over 8 games), Chase Brown 144 (16.0 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Bijan Robinson over Chase Brown, 25.6 to 16.3 projected PPR points.

Should I drop Bijan Robinson?Should I drop Chase Brown?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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