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Start Bo Nix or Jared Goff? Week 2

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Bo Nix over Jared Goff

Start

Bo Nix

QB · DEN · vs JAX

Books imply
18.5
fantasy pts
JAX D vs QB
15.0
12th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 1
Sit

Jared Goff

QB · DET · at BUF

Books imply
17.1
fantasy pts
BUF D vs QB
16.5
16th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 1

Our Week 2 call

Start Bo Nix over Jared Goff in Week 2.

De-vigged player props project Bo Nix at 18.5 points and Jared Goff at 17.1, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Bo Nix at ADP 108 and Jared Goff at 101.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 17.1 fantasy points for Jared Goff, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 18.5 fantasy points for Bo Nix, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

That puts Bo Nix 1.4 points ahead of Jared Goff on the books.

Week 2 matchups

Jared Goff and DET visit BUF on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

BUF allowed 16.5 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 16th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 274 yards and 2 touchdowns against BUF, with no interceptions.

Bo Nix and DEN host JAX on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

JAX allowed 15.0 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 12th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 205 yards and a touchdown against JAX, with an interception.

By points allowed to the position, Jared Goff has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jared Goff is not on the injury report.

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Jared Goff played 100 percent of DET snaps, dropped back 41 times and threw an average of 5.3 air yards per attempt.

Jared Goff, Week 1 against NO: 77 of 77 snaps, 26 of 39 passes for 206 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 2 yards.

Through Week 1, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 33 times and threw an average of 3.3 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 1 against KC: 51 of 51 snaps, 17 of 28 passes for 131 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 3 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jared Goff played 17 games for DET and scored 305.1 PPR points, 17.9 a game, finishing QB9.

He completed 393 of 578 passes for 4564 yards, 34 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 19 times for 45 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jared Goff, Week 18 of 2025 against CHI: 27 of 42 passes for 331 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 16.2 PPR points.

Jared Goff, Week 17 of 2025 against MIN: 64 of 64 snaps, 18 of 29 passes for 197 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 2 yards, 4.1 PPR points.

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Bo Nix, Week 18 of 2025 against LAC: 14 of 23 passes for 141 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 49 yards, 10.5 PPR points.

Bo Nix, Week 17 of 2025 against KC: 72 of 72 snaps, 26 of 38 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 9 carries for 42 yards, 20.5 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB13 · DEN · bye 10

2025 vs pass yds line 8-9

Overall rank
32
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
1

Ranked behind

QB32 · DET · bye 6

2025 vs pass yds line 10-7

Overall rank
199
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
8

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board167
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 1 and tier 8
  • Board size244 draftable players

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