Start Kyler Murray or Bo Nix? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Kyler Murray over Bo Nix in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Kyler Murray at 17.3 points and Bo Nix at 16.9, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 17.3 fantasy points for Kyler Murray, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Kyler Murray at 208.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 20.5 rushing yards, with a 21% chance to score a touchdown (15, 16, 15 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 16.9 fantasy points for Bo Nix, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Bo Nix at 211.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 16.5 rushing yards, with a 18% chance to score a touchdown (15, 16, 14 and 15 books).

That puts Kyler Murray 0.4 points ahead of Bo Nix on the books.

Injury status

Kyler Murray is not on the injury report.

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 1, Kyler Murray played 17 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 7 times and threw an average of 7.0 air yards per attempt.

Kyler Murray, Week 1 against GB: 11 of 65 snaps, 3 of 5 passes for 18 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 9 yards.

Through Week 2, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 64 times and threw an average of 6.1 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 1 against KC: 51 of 51 snaps, 17 of 28 passes for 131 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 3 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 2 against JAX: 62 of 62 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 288 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 9 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Kyler Murray played 5 games for ARI and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He completed 110 of 161 passes for 962 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Bo Nix, Week 18 of 2025 against LAC: 14 of 23 passes for 141 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 49 yards, 10.5 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Kyler Murray over Baker Mayfield.
• Start Bryce Young over Kyler Murray.
• Start Kyler Murray over C.J. Stroud.
• Start Bo Nix over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Bo Nix over Baker Mayfield.
• Start Bryce Young over Bo Nix.