Start Kyler Murray or C.J. Stroud? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Kyler Murray over C.J. Stroud in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Kyler Murray at 17.3 points and C.J. Stroud at 16.9, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 17.3 fantasy points for Kyler Murray, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Kyler Murray at 209.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 20.5 rushing yards, with a 21% chance to score a touchdown (12, 16, 15 and 14 books).

Player prop markets imply 17.0 fantasy points for C.J. Stroud, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have C.J. Stroud at 237.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 9.5 rushing yards, with a 11% chance to score a touchdown (13, 17, 14 and 15 books).

That puts Kyler Murray 0.3 points ahead of C.J. Stroud on the books.

Injury status

Kyler Murray is not on the injury report.

C.J. Stroud is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 1, Kyler Murray played 17 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 7 times and threw an average of 7.0 air yards per attempt.

Kyler Murray, Week 1 against GB: 11 of 65 snaps, 3 of 5 passes for 18 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 9 yards.

Through Week 2, C.J. Stroud played 100 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 102 times and threw an average of 8.8 air yards per attempt.

C.J. Stroud, Week 1 against BUF: 79 of 79 snaps, 26 of 38 passes for 274 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 15 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 2 against CIN: 80 of 80 snaps, 30 of 53 passes for 353 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 29 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Kyler Murray played 5 games for ARI and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He completed 110 of 161 passes for 962 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, C.J. Stroud played 14 games for HOU and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He completed 273 of 423 passes for 3041 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 48 times for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

C.J. Stroud, Week 18 of 2025 against IND: 14 of 23 passes for 169 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 5 yards, 17.3 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Kyler Murray over Baker Mayfield.
• Start Kyler Murray over Bo Nix.
• Start Bryce Young over Kyler Murray.
• Start C.J. Stroud over Baker Mayfield.
• Start Bo Nix over C.J. Stroud.
• Start Bryce Young over C.J. Stroud.