Start Wan'Dale Robinson or Brian Thomas Jr.? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Wan'Dale Robinson
Wrong: 7.0 to 8.8- Books imply
- 8.3
- fantasy pts
- CLE D vs WR
- 48.5
- 3rd most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 35%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 14%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 7.0
- PPR pts
- NYJ D vs WR
- 24.4
- 11th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 82%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 21%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 8.8
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Wan'Dale Robinson in Week 1.
Brian Thomas Jr. is priced by the books at 8.3 projected points. Wan'Dale Robinson has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Brian Thomas Jr. at ADP 81 and Wan'Dale Robinson at 86.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 8.4 fantasy points for Brian Thomas Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Wan'Dale Robinson in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Brian Thomas Jr. and JAX host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
CLE allowed 48.5 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 3rd most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 183 yards and 3 touchdowns against CLE.
Wan'Dale Robinson and TEN host NYJ.
NYJ allowed 24.4 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 11th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 94 yards and a touchdown against NYJ.
By points allowed to the position, Brian Thomas Jr. has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Brian Thomas Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Wan'Dale Robinson was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games for JAX and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.
He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 548 air yards.
He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Brian Thomas Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 5 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards, 7.9 PPR points.
Brian Thomas Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against IND: 54 of 69 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 39 yards, 7.9 PPR points.
Brian Thomas Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against DEN: 51 of 70 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards, 3.8 PPR points.
In 2025, Wan'Dale Robinson played 16 games for NYG and scored 217.9 PPR points, 13.6 a game, finishing WR14.
He caught 92 of 140 targets for 1014 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 628 air yards.
He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Wan'Dale Robinson, Week 17 of 2025 against LV: 48 of 64 snaps, 14 targets and 11 catches for 113 yards, 22.3 PPR points.
Wan'Dale Robinson, Week 16 of 2025 against MIN: 55 of 56 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards, 5.2 PPR points.
Wan'Dale Robinson, Week 15 of 2025 against WAS: 67 of 68 snaps, 10 targets and 5 catches for 54 yards, 1 touchdown, 16.4 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Brian Thomas Jr. scored 7.0 PPR points and Wan'Dale Robinson scored 8.8.
The call was wrong: Wan'Dale Robinson outscored Brian Thomas Jr. by 1.8.
Brian Thomas Jr. finished 1.3 points below the 8.4 the props implied.
Brian Thomas Jr., Week 1 against CLE: 20 of 57 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 40 yards, 7.0 PPR points.
Brian Thomas Jr. finished as the week's WR58 in PPR scoring.
Wan'Dale Robinson, Week 1 against NYJ: 41 of 50 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 38 yards, 8.8 PPR points.
Wan'Dale Robinson finished as the week's WR43 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR19 · TEN · bye 9
2025 vs rec yds line 5-11
- Overall rank
- 82
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
WR28 · JAX · bye 7
2025 vs rec yds line 4-10
- Overall rank
- 95
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board13
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 5
- Board size244 draftable players
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