Start Lamar Jackson or Brock Purdy? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Lamar Jackson over Brock Purdy in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Lamar Jackson at 22.6 points and Brock Purdy at 19.5, a gap of 3.1. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 22.6 fantasy points for Lamar Jackson, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Lamar Jackson at 238.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 39.5 rushing yards, with a 32% chance to score a touchdown (15, 17, 13 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 19.5 fantasy points for Brock Purdy, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Brock Purdy at 237.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 25% chance to score a touchdown (16, 17 and 14 books).

That puts Lamar Jackson 3.1 points ahead of Brock Purdy on the books.

Injury status

Lamar Jackson is not on the injury report.

Brock Purdy is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Lamar Jackson played 100 percent of BAL snaps, dropped back 66 times and threw an average of 10.9 air yards per attempt.

Lamar Jackson, Week 1 against IND: 68 of 68 snaps, 17 of 24 passes for 324 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 43 yards.

Lamar Jackson, Week 2 against NO: 58 of 58 snaps, 21 of 30 passes for 235 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 34 yards.

Through Week 2, Brock Purdy played 93 percent of SF snaps, dropped back 61 times and threw an average of 5.9 air yards per attempt.

Brock Purdy, Week 1 against LAR: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 34 passes for 205 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 29 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 2 against MIA: 44 of 52 snaps, 20 of 22 passes for 287 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 30 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Lamar Jackson played 13 games for BAL and scored 221.9 PPR points, 17.1 a game, finishing QB20.

He completed 192 of 302 passes for 2549 yards, 21 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 67 times for 349 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 92 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Lamar Jackson, Week 18 of 2025 against PIT: 11 of 18 passes for 238 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 9 yards, 21.4 PPR points.

In 2025, Brock Purdy played 9 games for SF and scored 187.4 PPR points, 20.8 a game, finishing QB24.

He completed 197 of 284 passes for 2167 yards, 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 33 times for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Brock Purdy, Week 18 of 2025 against SEA: 42 of 42 snaps, 19 of 27 passes for 127 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 21 yards, 6.2 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Lamar Jackson over Jalen Hurts.
• Start Lamar Jackson over Jared Goff.
• Start Josh Allen over Lamar Jackson.
• Start Brock Purdy over Dak Prescott.
• Start Jalen Hurts over Brock Purdy.
• Start Brock Purdy over Jared Goff.