Start Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Josh Allen over Lamar Jackson in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Josh Allen at 24.7 points and Lamar Jackson at 22.7, a gap of 2.1. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 24.7 fantasy points for Josh Allen, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Josh Allen at 238.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 33.5 rushing yards, with a 57% chance to score a touchdown (13, 16, 14 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 22.7 fantasy points for Lamar Jackson, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Lamar Jackson at 239.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 39.5 rushing yards, with a 33% chance to score a touchdown (15, 17, 13 and 15 books).

That puts Josh Allen 2.1 points ahead of Lamar Jackson on the books.

Week 3 matchups

Josh Allen and BUF host LAC on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

LAC allowed 18.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 2 games, the 12th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 265 yards and 2.0 touchdowns a game against LAC, with 0.5 interceptions.

Injury status

Josh Allen is not on the injury report.

Lamar Jackson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Josh Allen played 100 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 70 times and threw an average of 10.3 air yards per attempt.

Josh Allen, Week 1 against HOU: 58 of 58 snaps, 20 of 29 passes for 334 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 24 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 2 against DET: 74 of 74 snaps, 20 of 31 passes for 248 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 11 carries for 72 yards.

Through Week 2, Lamar Jackson played 100 percent of BAL snaps, dropped back 66 times and threw an average of 10.9 air yards per attempt.

Lamar Jackson, Week 1 against IND: 68 of 68 snaps, 17 of 24 passes for 324 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 43 yards.

Lamar Jackson, Week 2 against NO: 58 of 58 snaps, 21 of 30 passes for 235 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 34 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Josh Allen played 17 games for BUF and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He completed 319 of 460 passes for 3668 yards, 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 112 times for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Josh Allen, Week 18 of 2025 against NYJ: 0 of 0 passes for 0 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

In 2025, Lamar Jackson played 13 games for BAL and scored 221.9 PPR points, 17.1 a game, finishing QB20.

He completed 192 of 302 passes for 2549 yards, 21 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 67 times for 349 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 92 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Lamar Jackson, Week 18 of 2025 against PIT: 11 of 18 passes for 238 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 9 yards, 21.4 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Josh Allen over Brock Purdy.
• Start Josh Allen over Jalen Hurts.
• Start Josh Allen over Justin Herbert.
• Start Lamar Jackson over Brock Purdy.
• Start Lamar Jackson over Jalen Hurts.
• Start Lamar Jackson over Jared Goff.