Start Carnell Tate or Chris Godwin Jr.? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Carnell Tate over Chris Godwin Jr.
- Books imply
- 8.7
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 82%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 24%
- Through Week 2
- Books imply
- 8.8
- fantasy pts
- MIN D vs WR
- 38.9
- 10th most to WRs (2026)
Our Week 3 call
Start Carnell Tate over Chris Godwin Jr. in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Carnell Tate at 8.7 points and Chris Godwin Jr. at 8.8, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Chris Godwin Jr.'s number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 8.9 fantasy points for Chris Godwin Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Chris Godwin Jr. at 35.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 22% chance to score a touchdown (13, 12 and 15 books).
Player prop markets imply 8.7 fantasy points for Carnell Tate, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Carnell Tate at 38.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 21% chance to score a touchdown (16, 13 and 16 books).
That puts Chris Godwin Jr. 0.1 points ahead of Carnell Tate on the books.
Week 3 matchups
Chris Godwin Jr. and TB host MIN on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.
MIN allowed 38.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 2 games, the 10th most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 194 yards and a touchdown a game against MIN.
Injury status
Chris Godwin Jr. is not on the injury report.
Carnell Tate is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 3
Through Week 2, Carnell Tate played 82 percent of TEN snaps, drew 24 percent of the targets, earned 35 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.
Carnell Tate, Week 1 against NYJ: 44 of 50 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 38 yards.
Carnell Tate, Week 2 against PHI: 40 of 53 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Chris Godwin Jr. played 9 games for TB and scored 83.0 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing WR78.
He caught 33 of 51 targets for 360 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 154 air yards.
He was on the field for 71 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Chris Godwin Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 47 of 67 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 8 yards, 1.8 PPR points.
Chris Godwin Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against MIA: 53 of 67 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 108 yards, 1 touchdown, 23.8 PPR points.
Chris Godwin Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against CAR: 41 of 64 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 30 yards, 8.0 PPR points.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR42 · TEN · bye 9
- Overall rank
- 107
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 7
Ranked behind
WR49 · TB · bye 10
2025 vs rec yds line 3-6
- Overall rank
- 120
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 7
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board13
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 7
- Board size227 draftable players
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