Start Carnell Tate or Pat Freiermuth? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Carnell Tate over Pat Freiermuth

- Books imply
- 9.1
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 82%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 24%
- Through Week 2

- Books imply
- 9.0
- fantasy pts
Our Week 3 call
Start Carnell Tate over Pat Freiermuth in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Carnell Tate at 9.1 points and Pat Freiermuth at 9.0, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 9.1 fantasy points for Carnell Tate, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Carnell Tate at 38.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 20% chance to score a touchdown (15, 11 and 15 books).
Player prop markets imply 9.0 fantasy points for Pat Freiermuth, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Pat Freiermuth at 35.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 21% chance to score a touchdown (15, 12 and 14 books).
That puts Carnell Tate 0.1 points ahead of Pat Freiermuth on the books.
Injury status
Carnell Tate is not on the injury report.
Pat Freiermuth is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 3
Through Week 2, Carnell Tate played 82 percent of TEN snaps, drew 24 percent of the targets, earned 35 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.
Carnell Tate, Week 1 against NYJ: 44 of 50 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 38 yards.
Carnell Tate, Week 2 against PHI: 40 of 53 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR45 · TEN · bye 9
- Overall rank
- 107
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 10
Ranked behind
TE15 · PIT · bye 9
2025 vs rec yds line 9-8
- Overall rank
- 103
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 3
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board4
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 10 and tier 3
- Board size227 draftable players
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